Dr Michiel Schaeffer

Publications

• Peer reviewed
• Institutional decarbonisation scenarios evaluated against the Paris Agreement 1.5°C goal Robert Brecha, Gaurav Ganti, Robin D. Lamboll, Zebedee Nicholls, Bill Hare, Jared Lewis, Malte Meinshausen, Michiel Schaeffer, Christopher J. Smith, Matthew J. Gidden, Nature Communications, (2022)
• Governing large-scale carbon dioxide removal: are we ready? - an update Mace, M.J., Fyson, C.L., Schaeffer, M., Hare, W.L. Carnegie Climate Governance Initiative (C2G), February 2021, New York, US., (2021)
• Decarbonization of Australia’s Energy System: Integrated Modeling of the Transformation of Electricity, Transportation, and Industrial Sectors Tina Aboumahboub, Robert J. Brecha, Himalaya Shrestha, Ursula Fuentes, Andreas Geiges, Bill Hare, Michiel Schaefer, Lara Welder, Matthew Gidden (2020)
• The impact of climate change on incomes and convergence in Africa Florent Baarsch, Jessie Granadillos, Bill Hare, Maria Knaus, Mario Krapp, Michiel Schaeffer, Hermann Lotze-Campen, World Development, (2020)
• Climate change adaptation costs in developing countries: insights from existing estimates Dipesh Chapagain, Florent Baarsch, Michiel Schaeffer, Sarah D'haen, Climate and Development, (2020)

• Inconsistencies when applying novel metrics for emissions accounting to the Paris agreement Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Alexander Nauels, Michiel Schaeffer, William Hare, Joeri Rogelj, Environmental Research Letters, (2019)
• Towards optimal 1.5° and 2 °C emission pathways for individual countries: A Finland case study Fabio Sferra, Mario Krapp, Niklas Roming, Michiel Schaeffer, Aman Malik, Bill Hare, Robert Brecha, Energy Policy, (2019)
• Incremental improvements of 2030 targets insufficient to achieve the Paris Agreement goals Andreas Geiges, Paola Yanguas Parra, Marina Andrijevic, Bill Hare, Alex Nauels, Peter Pfleiderer, Michiel Schaeffer, Carl Schleussner, Earth System Dynamics, (2019)
• 1.5°C Hotspots: Climate Hazards, Vulnerabilities, and Impacts Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Delphine Deryng, Sarah D'haen, William Hare, Tabea Lissner, Mouhamed Ly, Alexander Nauels, Melinda Noblet, Peter Pfleiderer, Patrick Pringle, Martin Rokitzki, Fahad Saeed, Michiel Schaeffer, Olivia Serdeczny, Adelle Thomas, Annual Review of Environment and Resources, Vol. 43:135-163, doi.org/10.1146/annurev-environ-102017-025835, (2018)
• Extending Near-Term Emissions Scenarios to Assess Warming Implications of Paris Agreement NDCs’ Johannes Gütschow, Mairi Louise Jeffery, Michiel Schaeffer, Bill Hare, Earth's Future, (2018)
• Ten key short-term sectoral benchmarks to limit warming to 1.5°C Takeshi Kuramochi, Niklas Höhne, Michiel Schaeffer, Jasmin Cantzler, Bill Hare, Yvonne Deng, Sebastian Sterl, Markus Hagemann, Marcia Rocha, Paola Andrea Yanguas-Parra, Goher-Ur-Rehman Mir, Lindee Wong, Tarik El- Laboudy, Karlien Wouters, Delphine Deryng & Kornelis Blok, Climate Policy, DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2017.1397495, (2017)
• Science and policy characteristics of the Paris Agreement temperature goal Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Joeri Rogelj, Michiel Schaeffer, Tabea Lissner, Rachel Licker, Erich M. Fischer, Reto Knutti, Anders Levermann, Katja Frieler & William Hare, Nature Climate Change Perspective, 6, 827–835 , doi:10.1038/nclimate3096, (2016)
• Carbon budgets and energy transition pathways van Vuuren, D.P., van Soest, H., Riahi, K., Clarke, L., Krey, V., Kriegler, E., Rogelj, J., Schaeffer, M., Tavoni, M, Environmental Research Letters , 11 (2016) 075002, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/075002, (2016)
• Mapping the climate change challenge Stephane Hallegatte, S., Rogelj, J., Allen, M., Clarke, L., Edenhofer, O., Field, C., Friedlingstein, P., van Kesteren, L., Knutti, R., Mach, K., Mastrandrea, M., Michel, A., Minx, J., Oppenheimer, M., Plattner, G.-K., Riahi, K., Schaeffer, M., Stocker, T., van Vuuren, D.P, Nature Climate Change, 6, 663-668, doi:10.1038/nclimate3057, (2016)
• Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming: the case of 1.5 °C and 2 °C Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Tabea K. Lissner, Erich M. Fischer, Jan Wohland, Mahé Perrette, Antonius Golly, Joeri Rogelj, Katelin Childers, Jacob Schewe, Katja Frieler, Matthias Mengel, William Hare, and Michiel Schaeffer, Earth System Dynamics, 7, 327-351, doi:10.5194/esd-7-327-2016, (2016)
• Differences between carbon budget estimates unravelled Joeri Rogelj, Michiel Schaeffer, Pierre Friedlingstein, Nathan P. Gillett, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Keywan Riahi, Myles Allen & Reto Knutti, Nature Climate Change, 6, 245–252, doi:10.1038/nclimate2868, (2016)
• Climatic risks and impacts in South Asia: extremes of water scarcity and excess Vinke, K., Martin, M.A., Adams, S., Baarsch, F., Bondeau, A., Coumou, D., Donner, R.V., Menon, A., Perrette, M.. Rehfeld, K., Robinson, A., Rocha, M., Schaeffer, M., Schwan, S., Serdeczny, O., Svirejeva-Hopkins, A. , Regional Environmental Change, doi:10.1007/s10113-015-0924-9, (2016)
• Climate change impacts in Sub-Saharan Africa: from physical changes to their social repercussions Olivia Serdeczny, Sophie Adams, Florent Baarsch, Dim Coumou, Alexander Robinson, Bill Hare, Michiel Schaeffer, Mahe ́Perrette, Julia Reinhardt , Regional Environmental Change , 01/2016, DOI: 10.1007/s10113-015-0910-2, (2016)
• Piecing Together the Adaptation Puzzle for Small Island States Lissner, T.K., Schleussner, C.F., Serdeczny, O., Baarsch, F., Schaeffer, M., and Hare, B. , in Climate Change Adaptation in Pacific Countries: Fostering Resilience and Improving the Quality of Life, ed. by Walter Leal Filho (Berlin: Springer), pp. 1–15., (2016)
• Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming: the case of 1.5°C and 2°C C. F. Schleussner, T. K. Lissner, E. M. Fischer, J. Wohland, M. Perrette, A. Golly, J. Rogelj, K. Childers, J. Schewe, K. Frieler, M. Mengel, W. Hare, and M. Schaeffer , Earth System Dynamics, 7, 327–351, doi:10.5194/esd-7-327-2016, (2015)
• National post-2020 greenhouse gas targets and diversity-aware leadership Meinshausen, M., Jeffery, L., Guetschow, J., Robiou du Pont, Y., Rogelj, J., Schaeffer, M., Höhne, N., den Elzen, M., Oberthür, S., Meinshausen, N, Nature Climate Change, 5, 1098–1106, doi: 10.1038/nclimate2826, (2015)
• How well do integrated assessment models represent non-CO2 radiative forcing? Harmsen, M.J.H.M., van Vuuren, D.P., van den Berg, M., Hof, A.F., Hope, C., Krey, V., Lamarque, J.-F., Marcucci, A., Rose, S.K., Shindell, D.T., Schaeffer M., Climatic Change, 133: 565, DOI 10.1007/s10584-015-1485-0, (2015)
• A short note on integrated assessment modeling approaches: Rejoinder to the review of “Making or breaking climate targets — The AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy” Kriegler. E., Riahi, K., Bauer, N., Schwanitz, V.J., Petermann, N., Bosetti, V., Marcucci, A., Otto, S., Paroussos, L., Rao-Skirbekk, S., Arroyo Currás, T., Ashina, S., Bollen, J., Eom, J., Hamdi-Cherif, M., Longden, T., Kitous, A., Méjean, A., Sano, F., Schaeffer, M., Wada, K., Capros, P., van Vuuren, D.P., Edenhofer, O., Bertram, C., Bibas, R., Edmonds, J., Johnson, N., Krey, V., Luderer, G., McCollum, D. and Jiang, K. , Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 99, 273–276, doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2015.07.011, (2015)
• Impact of short-lived non-CO2 mitigation on carbon budgets for stabilizing global warming Rogelj, J., Meinshausen, M., Schaeffer, M., Knutti R., Riahi, K., Environmental Research Letters, (10) 075001, (2015)
• Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5°C Rogelj, J., Luderer, G., Pietzcker, R.C., Kriegler, E., Schaeffer, M., Krey, V., Riahi, K., Nature Climate Change, 5, 519-527, doi: 10.1038/nclimate2572, (2015)
• Zero emission targets as long-term global goals for climate protection Rogelj, J., Schaeffer, M., Meinshausen, M., Knutti R., Alcamo, J., Riahi, K., Hare, W., Environmental Research Letters , 10, 105007, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/10/105007, (2015)
• Climate change impacts in Latin America and the Caribbean and their implications for development Reyer CPO, S Adams, T Albrecht, F Baarsch, A Boit, N Canales Trujillo, M Cartsburg, D Coumou, A Eden, E Fernandes, F Langerwisch, R Marcus, M Mengel, D Mira-Salama, M Perette, P Pereznieto, A Rammig, J Reinhardt, A Robinson, M Rocha, B Sakschewski, M Schaeffer, C. F. Schleussner, O Serdeczny, K Thonicke , Reg Environ Change, doi:10.1007/s10113-015-0854-6, (2015)
• Making or breaking climate targets: The AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy Kriegler, E., Riahi, K., Bauer, N., Schwanitz, V.J., Petermann, N., Bosetti, V., Marcucci, A., Otto, S., Paroussos, L., Rao-Skirbekk, S., Arroyo Curras, T., Ashina, S., Bollen, J., Eom, J., Hamdi-Cherif, M., Kitous, A., Mejean, A., Schaeffer, M., Wada, K., Capros, P., van Vuuren, D. and Edenhofer, O. , Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 90 Part A, 24-44, doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.021, (2015)
• Locked into Copenhagen Pledges - Implications of short-term emission targets for the cost and feasibility of long-term climate goals , Technological Forecasting & Social Change, Part A: 8-23, doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.016, (2015)
• Mid- and long-term climate projections for fragmented and delayed-action scenarios Schaeffer, M., Gohar, L., Kriegler, E., Lowe, J., Riahi, K. and van Vuuren, D. , Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 90 Part A, 257-268, doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.013, (2015)
• Disentangling the effects of CO2 and short-lived climate forcer mitigation Rogelj, Joeri, Schaeffer Michiel, Meinshausen Malte, Shindell Drew T., Hare Bill, Klimont Zbigniew, Velders Guus J. M., Amann Markus, and Schellnhuber Hans Joachim, PNAS, vol. 111 no. 46, 16325–16330, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1415631111, (2014)
• Persistent growth of CO2 emissions and implications for reaching climate targets Friedlingstein, P., Andrew, R. M., Rogelj, J., Peters, G. P., Canadell, J. G., Knutti, R., Luderer, G., Raupach, M. R., Schaeffer, M., van Vuuren, D. P., Le Quéré, C. , Nature Geoscience, 7: 709-715, doi: 10.1038/ngeo2248, (2014)
• What does the 2°C target imply for a global climate agreement in 2020? The limits study on Durban Platform scenarios Kriegler, E., Tavoni, M., Aboumahboub, T., Luderer, G., Calvin, K., Demaere, G., Krey, V., Riahi, K., Rösler, H., Schaeffer, M. and van Vuuren, D.P., Climate Change Economics, 4, 1340008, doi: 10.1142/S2010007813400083, (2013)
• Impact of the Doha outcome on surplus emission allowances and their effect on developed country emissions Chen, C. M., Gütschow, J., Vieweg, M., Macey, K. and Schaeffer, M. , Climatic Change , 120: 845-857, doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0841-1, (2013)
• Long-term sea-level rise implied by 1.5 degree and 2 degree Celsius warming levels Michiel Schaeffer, William Hare, Stefan Rahmstorf, Martin Vermeer, Nature Climate Change: Letters, 2, 867–870, doi:10.1038/nclimate1584, (2012)
• Copenhagen Accord Pledges imply higher costs for staying below 2°C warming van Vliet, J., van den Berg, M., Schaeffer, M., van Vuuren, D., den Elzen, M., Hof, A., Mendoza Beltran, A., and Meinshausen, M., Climatic Change, 113(2): 551-561, doi:10.1007/s10584-012-0458-9, (2012)
• Copenhagen Accord Pledges imply higher costs for staying below 2°C warming v. d. van Vliet, M. B. Jasper, Michiel Schaeffer, Detlef P.van Vuuren, Michel den Elzen,Andries F. Hof, Beltran Angelica Mendoza, Malte Meinshausen , Climate Change, volume 13, issue 2, pp. 551 - 561, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-012-0458-9, (2012)
• The Emissions Gap – An Update. In: Bridging the Emissions Gap N. Höhne, J. Rogelj, K. Jiang, C. Chen, R. Dellink, den M. Elzen, C. Gesteira, K. Levin, J. Lowe, E. Massetti, T. Nyong, E. Sawin, F. Wagner, Z. Xiusheng (2011)
• Climate hotspots: key vulnerable regions, climate change and limits to warming W. L. Hare, W. Cramer, M. Schaeffer, A. Battaglini , C. Jaeger , Regional Environmental Change, 11(Suppl 1), doi:10.1007/s10113-010-0195-4, (2011)
• Description of the Earth system model of intermediate complexity LOVECLIM version 1.2 Goosse, H., Brovkin, V., Fichefet, T., Haarsma, R., Huybrechts, P., Jongma, J., Mouchet, A., Selten, F., Barriat, P. Y., Campin, J. M., Deleersnijder, E., Driesschaert, E., Goelzer, H., Janssens, I., Loutre, M. F., Morales Maqueda, M. A., Opsteegh, T., Mathieu, P. P., Munhoven, G., Pettersson, E. J., Renssen, H., Roche, D. M., Schaeffer, M., Tartinville, B., Timmermann, A., and Weber, S. L., Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., 3(1), 309-390, doi:10.5194/gmd-3-603-2010, (2010)
• Analysis of the Copenhagen Accord pledges and its global climatic impacts‚ a snapshot of dissonant ambitions Rogelj, J., Chen, C., Nabel, J., Macey, K., Hare, W., Schaeffer, M., Markmann, K., Höhne, N., Krogh Anderson, K., and Meinshausen, M. , Environmental Research Letters, 5(3), 034013, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/5/3/034013, (2010)
• Copenhagen Accord pledges are paltry Rogelj, J., Nabel, J., Chen, C., Hare, W., Markmann, K., Meinshausen, M., Schaeffer, M., Macey, K., and Hohne, N. , Nature, 464(7292), 1126-1128, doi:10.1038/4641126a, (2010)
• Assessing 20th century climate–vegetation feedbacks of land-use change and natural vegetation dynamics in a fully coupled vegetation–climate model Strengers, B. J., Müller, C., Schaeffer, M., Haarsma, R. J., Severijns, C., Gerten, D., Schaphoff, S., van den Houdt, R., and Oostenrijk, R. , International Journal of Climatology, 30, 2055-2065, 10.1002/joc.2132, (2010)
• Halfway to Copenhagen, no way to 2 °C Joeri Rogelj, Bill Hare, Julia Nabel, Kirsten Macey, Michiel Schaeffer, Kathleen Markmann & Malte Meinshausen, Nature Reports Climate Change, doi:10.1038/climate.2009.57, (2009)
• Near-linear cost increase to reduce climate-change risk Schaeffer, M., Kram, T., Meinshausen, M., van Vuuren, D. P., and Hare, W. L. , PNAS, 105(52), 20621-20626, doi: 10.1073/pnas.0802416106, (2008)
• Climate simulation of the twenty-first century with interactive land-use changes Voldoire, A., Eickhout, B., Schaeffer, M., Royer, J.-F., and Chauvin, F., Climate Dynamics, 29(2), 177-193, DOI 10.1007/s00382-007-0228-y, (2007)
• CO2 and albedo climate impacts of extratropical carbon and biomass plantations Schaeffer, M., Eickhout, B., Hoogwijk, M., Strengers, B., van Vuuren, D., Leemans, R., and Opsteegh, T. , Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 20(2), GB2020, DOI: 10.1029/2005GB002581, (2006)
• Biogeophysical effects of historical land cover changes simulated by six Earth system models of intermediate complexity Brovkin, V., Claussen, M., Driesschaert, E., Fichefet, T., Kicklighter, D., Loutre, M. F., Matthews, H. D., Ramankutty, N., Schaeffer, M., and Sokolov, A. , Climate Dynamics, 26(6), 587-600, doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0092-6, (2006)
• Differentiating Future Commitments on the Basis of Countries’ Relative Historical Responsibility for Climate Change: Uncertainties in the ‘Brazilian Proposal’ in the Context of a Policy Implementation Elzen, M. G. J., Schaeffer, M., and Lucas, P. L. , Climatic Change, 71(3), 277-301, doi:10.1007/s10584-005-5382-9, (2005)
• Shifts of means are not a proxy for changes in extreme winter temperatures in climate projections Schaeffer, M., Selten, F., and Opsteegh, J., Climate Dynamics, 25(1), 51-63, doi:10.1007/s00382-004-0495-9, (2005)
• The influence of ocean convection patterns on high-latitude climate projections Schaeffer, M., Selten, F. M., Opsteegh, J. D., and Goosse, H. , Journal of Climate, 17(22), 4316-4329, (2004)
• Intrinsic limits to predictability of abrupt regional climate change in IPCC SRES scenarios Schaeffer, M., Selten, F. M., Opsteegh, J. D., and Goosse, H. , Geophysical Research Letters, 29(16), 14:1-14:4, DOI: 10.1029/2002GL015254, (2002)
• Responsibility for past and future global warming: uncertainties in attributing anthropogenic climate change den Elzen, M. G. J., and Schaeffer, M. , Climatic Change, 54, 29-73, doi:10.1023/A:1015750019028, (2002)
• Elastic light-scattering measurements of single biological cells in an optical trap Doornbos, R. M. P., Schaeffer, M., Hoekstra, A. G., Sloot, P. M. A., Grooth, B. G. d., and Greve, J. , Appl. Opt, 35(4), 729-734, (1996)

• Briefing papers
• How can the EU transform its economy to meet the 1.5°C goal? Tina Aboumahboub, Himalaya Bir Shrestha, Neil Grant, Michiel Schaeffer, and Clare Waldmann. (2022)
• Transformative change to achieve 1.5°C: an EU member state assessment Neil Grant, Tina Aboumahboub, Aman Majid, Himalaya Shrestha, Claire Fyson and Michiel Schaeffer. (2022)
• Pre-2020 commitments and the need for more ambitious NDCs Paola Yanguas Parra, Michiel Schaeffer, Andreas Geiges, Claire Stockwell, Alex Nauels, Matt Gidden (2019)
• Greenhouse gas accounting metrics under the Paris Agreement (2019)
• Australian political party positions and the Paris Agreement: an overview (2019)

• How do we limit warming to 1.5°C: informing the Talanoa Dialogue question, “How do we get there?” (2018)
• Integrated Assessment Models: what are they and how do they arrive at their conclusions? Bill Hare, Robert Brecha, Michiel Schaeffer (2018)
• New Zealand’s Zero Carbon Bill – getting the Paris Agreement right Bill Hare, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Michiel Schaeffer, Alexander Nauels (2018)
• Why using 20-year Global Warming Potentials (GWPs) for emission targets are a very bad idea for climate policy Climate Analytics (2017)
• The Finkel Review and scientific consistency with the Paris Agreement Bill Hare, Ursula Fuentes Hutfilter, Fabio Sferra, Paola Parra, Jasmin Cantzler, Michiel Schaeffer, Matt Beer (2017)
• Analysis of equitable mitigation contribution of countries Marcia Rocha, Alain Coimbra, Louise Jeffery, Johannes Gütschow, Michiel Schaeffer, Bill Hare (2015)
• Feasibility of limiting warming to 1.5 and 2°C Joeri Rogelj, Michiel Schaeffer, Niklas Roming, Fabio Sferra, Bill Hare, Olivia Serdeczny (2015)
• Timetables for zero emissions and 2015 emissions reductions: State of the Science for the ADP agreement Rogelj, Joeri, Schaeffer Michiel, and Hare Bill (2015)
• Info sheet: Timetables for Zero Emissions and 2050 Emissions Reductions: State of the Science for the ADP Agreement Joeri Rogelj, Michiel Schaeffer, Bill Hare (2015)
• Is it possible to return warming to below 1.5°C within this century? Hare, Bill, Schaeffer Michiel, Serdeczny Olivia, and Schleussner Carl-Friedrich (2014)
• Rebuttal of “Ditch the 2°C warming goal!” Bill Hare, Carl-Friedrich Schleußner, Michiel Schaeffer, (2014)
• Loss and Damage in the UNFCCC: what relationship to the Hyogo Framework? MJ Mace, M Schaeffer (2013)
• Hot topic: AAU surplus. Political implications of the long-term effect of surplus from the first and second Kyoto period Marion Vieweg, Michiel Schaeffer, Claudine Chen, Johannes Gütschow, Bill Hare, Marcia Rocha (2012)
• Science aspects of the 2°C and 1.5°C global goals in the Cancun Agreements Bill Hare, Michiel Schaeffer, Marcia Rocha (2011)
• Mitigation, pledge, impacts and effects on LDC Michiel Schaeffer, Felix Fallasch, Sandra Freitas, Andries Hof, Kirsten Macey, Joeri Rogelj, Bill Hare (2011)
• Periodic Review, Background and Analysis Bill Hare, Michiel Schaeffer, Kirsten Macey, Sandra Freitas, Henrike Doebert (2011)
• Persistence of Atoll Islands under sea-level rise Michiel Schaeffer, Bill Hare (2010)
• Adequacy of Copenhagen mitigations pledges: The case for low carbon development strategies Seburikoko, L., Schaeffer, M., De Marez, L., Hare, B., Macey, K., Chen, C., Rogelj, J. , IIED Briefing Paper, (2010)

• Working papers
• Evaluation of IEA ETP 2012 emission scenarios Michiel Schaeffer, Detlef van Vuuren (2012)
• Ocean Acidification: Causes and Consequences Michiel Schaeffer, Bill Hare (2010)
• 2020 emission targets after applying updated GWPs from IPCC AR4 Michiel Schaeffer, Bill Hare (2010)
• Ocean Acidification: Causes and Consequences (Update) Michiel Schaeffer, Bill Hare (2010)

• Reports
• Climate cost modelling: analysis of damage and mitigation frameworks and guidance for political use Dr. Quirin Oberpriller, Martin Peter, Dr. Jürg Füssler, Dr. Anne Zimmer, Dr. Tina Aboumahboub, Jessie Schleypen, Dr. Matthew Gidden, Dr. Michiel Schaeffer, Dr. Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Prof. Dr. Reimund Schwarze (2021)
• En route to Paris? Implications of the Paris Agreement for the German transport sector Ursula Fuentes Hutfilter, Fabio Sferra, Paola Parra, Michiel Schaeffer, Bill Hare (2019)
• Auf dem Weg nach Paris? Implikationen des Paris-Abkommens für den Klimaschutzbeitrag des Verkehrs Ursula Fuentes Hutfilter, Fabio Sferra, Paola Parra, Michiel Schaeffer, Bill Hare (2019)
• How can Paris Agreement commitments be improved now to close the gap to 1.5°C Andreas Geiges, Paola Yanguas Parra, Claire Fyson, Annika Günther, Bill Hare, Michiel Schaeffer, Ursula Fuentes Hutfilter (2019)
• A 1.5°C Compatible Carbon Budget for Western Australia Ursula Fuentes Hutfilter, Bill Hare, Anna Chapman, Ryan Wilson, Tina Aboumahboub, Himalaya Shrestha, Robert Brecha, Michiel Schaefer. Graphic design: Matt Beer (2019)

• For climate's sake: coal-free by 2030 Paola Yanguas Parra, Ursula Fuentes Hutfilter, Tina Aboumahboub, Fabio Sferra, Michiel Schaeffer, Bill Hare, Alexander Nauels, GauravGanti (2019)
• Production Gap 2019 Report SEI, IISD, ODI, Climate Analytics, CICERO, and UNEP (2019)
• A 1.5°C Compatible Carbon Budget for Queensland Bill Hare, Ursula Fuentes, Fabio Sferra, Michiel Schaefer, Carl Schleussner, Anna Chapman (2019)
• Global and regional coal phase-out requirements of the Paris Agreement: Insights from the IPCC Special Report on 1.5°C Paola A. Yanguas Parra, Gaurav Ganti, Robert Brecha, Bill Hare, Michiel Schaeffer, Ursula Fuentes (2019)
• Decarbonising South Asia and South East Asia Ursula Fuentes Hutfilter, Paola Yanguas Parra, Anne Zimmer, Andrzej Ancygier, Fahad Saeed, Robert Brecha, Bill Hare, Jessie Granadillos, Tina Aboumahboub, Gaurav Ganti, Ilsa Kelischek, Raghuveer Vyas, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Michiel Schaeffer (2019)
• Insights from the IPCC Special Report on 1.5°C for preparation of long-term strategies Michiel Schaeffer, Ursula Fuentes Hutfilter, Robert Brecha, Claire Fyson, Bill Hare (2019)
• The EU long-term strategy to reduce GHG emissions in light of the Paris Agreement and the IPCC SR1.5 Jakob Wachsmuth, Michiel Schaeffer, Bill Hare (2018)
• Governing Large-Scale Carbon Dioxide Removal: Are We Ready? M.J. Mace, Claire Fyson, Michiel Schaeffer, Bill Hare (2018)
• Science Based Coal Phase-out Pathway For Germany in Line with the Paris Agreement 1.5°C Warming Limit: Opportunities and Benefits of an Accelerated Energy Transition Paola Parra, Ursula Fuentes Hutfilter, Niklas Roming, Anne Zimmer, Fabio Sferra, Tino Aboumahboub, Michiel Schaeffer, Bill Hare, Matt Beer (2018)
• Science based coal phase-out timeline for Japan - Implications for policymakers and investors Paola Yanguas Parra, Yuri Okubo, Niklas Roming, Ursula Fuentes Hutfilter, Fabio Sferra, Michiel Schaeffer, Bill Hare, Matt Beer (2018)
• Western Australia's Gas Gamble - Implications of natural gas extraction in WA Bill Hare, Niklas Roming, Ursula Fuentes Hutfilter, Michiel Schaeffer, Matt Beer (2018)
• The Emissions Gap Report 2017: A UN Environment Synthesis Report (2017)
• Stress test for coal in the EU Climate Analytics (2017)
• The Low Carbon Monitor Eds. Michiel Schaeffer, Marcia Rocha, Matthew McKinnon (2016)
• Implications of the Paris Agreement for coal use in the power sector Dr. Marcia Rocha, Dr. (h.c) Bill Hare, Paola Yanguas Parra, Niklas Roming, Ugur Ural, Dr. Andrzej Ancygier, Jasmin Cantzler, Fabio Sferra, Howard Li, Dr. Michiel Schaeffer (2016)
• Implications of the 1.5°C limit in the Paris Agreement for climate policy and decarbonisation Bill Hare, Niklas Roming, Michiel Schaeffer, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner (2016)
• What does the Paris Agreement mean for Finland and the European Union? Marcia Rocha, Fabio Sferra, Michiel Schaeffer, Niklas Roming, Andrzej Ancygier, Paola Parra, Jasmin Cantzler, Alain Coimbra, Bill Hare (2016)
• Implications of oil extraction from the Great Australian Bight for Paris Agreement long-term goal Bill Hare, Niklas Roming, Michiel Schaeffer (2016)
• Historical Responsibility for Climate Change – from countries emissions to contribution to temperature increase Marcia Rocha, Mario Krapp, Johannes Gütschow, Louise Jeffery, Bill Hare, Michiel Schaeffer (2015)
• Analysis of fair mitigation contribution for South Africa Rocha Marcia, Coimbra Alain, Jeffery Louise, Gütschow Johannes, Schaeffer Michiel, and Hare Bill (2015)
• Africa's Adaptation Gap: Bridging the Gap - Mobilising Sources Michiel Schaeffer, Florent Baarsch, Gilbert Balo, Kelly de Bruin, Richard Calland, Felix Fallasch, Mahlet Eyassu Melkie, Len Verwey, Sandra Freitas, Laetitia De Marez, Jerome van Rooij, Bill Hare (2015)
• Turn Down the Heat: Confronting the New Climate Normal? (2014)
• Setting fair and adequate benchmarks for key countries Bill Hare, Michiel Schaeffer, Marcia Rocha, M. Louise Jeffery (2014)
• Setting fair and adequate benchmarks for key countries Marcia Rocha, Louise Jeffery, Michiel Schaeffer, Bill Hare (2014)
• Loss and Damage in Africa Michiel Schaeffer, Florent Baarsch, Leon Charles, Kelly de Bruin, Sandra Freitas, Bill Hare, Andries Hof & MJ Mace (2014)
• Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change: IPCC Working Group III Contribution AR5 (2014)
• Adequacy and feasibility of the 1.5°C long-term global limit Michiel Schaeffer, Bill Hare, Marcia Rocha, Joeri Rogelj (2013)
• Turn Down the Heat: Climate Extremes, Regional Impacts and the Case for Resilience Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, Bill Hare, Olivia Serdeczny, Michiel Schaeffer, Sophie Adams, Florent Baarsch, Susanne Schwan, Dim Coumou, Alexander Robinson, Marion Vieweg, Franziska Piontek, Reik Donner, Jakob Runge, Kira Rehfeld, Joeri Rogelj, Mahé Perette, Arathy Menon, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Alberte Bondeau, Anastasia Svirejeva-Hopkins, Jacob Schewe, Katja Frieler, Lila Warszawski, Marcia Rocha. (2013)
• Turn Down the Heat: Why a 4°C Warmer World Must be Avoided Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, William Hare, Olivia Serdeczny, Sophie Adams, Dim Coumou, Katja Frieler, Maria Martin, Ilona M. Otto, Mahé Perrette, Alexander Robinson, Marcia Rocha, Michiel Schaeffer, Jacob Schewe, Xiaoxi Wang, Lila Warszawski. (2012)
• The Emissions Gap Report 2012 M Schaeffer (2012)
• Closing the 2020 emissions gap: issues, options and strategies Bill Hare, Michiel Schaeffer, Marcia Rocha, Joeri Rogelj, Niklas Höhne, Kornelis Blok, Kees van der Leun, Nicholas Harrison (2012)
• Science update – Loss and Damage – Climate Change Today and under Future Scenarios Dim Coumou, Michiel Schaeffer (2012)
• China emission paradox: Cancun emissions intensity pledge to be surpassed but emissions higher Bill Hare, Michiel Schaeffer, Marion Vieweg, Niklas Höhne (2011)
• No move to close the gap at Bangkok climate talks Niklas Höhne, Bill Hare, Michiel Schaeffer, Claudine Chen, Marion Vieweg, Sar Moltmann (2011)
• Omega Metrics – Final Report. Using Metrics to Interpret Aviation Emissions Forster, P., Emmerson, K., Meinshausen, M., Raper, S., Schaeffer, M., Rogers, H. & Dessens, O. , Manchester Metropolitain University Report, UK, (2009)
• How feasible is changing track? Scenario analysis on the implications of changing emission tracks after 2020, from an insufficient global deal on 2020 reductions, to 2°C and 1.5°C pathways Schaeffer, M., Hare, W. , The Climate Institute, Australia, (2009)
• “Climate: Variability, predictability and interactions with land cover”, In: Integrated modelling of global environmental change. An overview of IMAGE 2.4, Bouwman, A.F., T. Kram and K. Klein Goldewijk (Eds.) Strengers, B., M. Schaeffer and B. Eickhout , MNP report 500110002/2006, Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (MNP), (2006)
• Industrial ecology & integrated assessment: an integrated modeling approach for climate change in A. R. U. Ayres and L. Ayres, (eds.), Handbook of Industrial Ecology den Elzen, M. G. J., and Schaeffer, M. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing Limited, pp. 554-565., (2002)
• “Feedback land surface with atmosphere at global scales”, In: Land use, climate and biogeochemical cycles: Feedbacks and options for emission reduction, H. Dolman (Ed.) Haarsma, R., R. Ronda and M. Schaeffer NOP Final report 958254., (2001)
• “Integrated assessment with IMAGE 2”, In: Land use, climate and biogeochemical cycles: Feedbacks and options for emission reduction, H. Dolman (Ed.) Leemans, R., L. Bouwman, G. Busch, B. Eickhout, E. Kreileman, M. Schaeffer, B. Strengers, B. de Vries NOP Final report 958254, (2001)
• The IMAGE 2.2 implementation of the SRES scenarios. A comprehensive analysis of emissions, climate change and impacts in the 21st century IMAGE Team , RIVM CD-ROM publication 481508018, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands, (2001)
• "Global modeling of environmental change: an overview of IMAGE 2.1", in J. Alcamo, R. Leemans, and E. Kreileman, (eds.), Global change scenarios in the 21st century: results from the IMAGE 2.1 model Alcamo, J., Kreileman, E., Krol, M., Leemans, R., Bollen, J., van Minnen, J., Schaeffer, M., Toet , S., and de Vries, B. , London: Elseviers Science, (1998)
• "An instrument for building global change scenarios", in J. Alcamo, R. Leemans, and E. Kreileman, (eds.), Global change scenarios of the 21st century: Results from the IMAGE 2.1 model Alcamo, J., Kreileman, E., Krol, M., Leemans, R., Bollen, J., van Minnen, J. G., Schaeffer, M., Toet, S., and de Vries, B. , Oxford: Elsevier Science Ltd., pp. 296, (1998)
• Identification of climate scenarios for the semi-arid and sub-humid regions: comparing existing climate scenarios for the dryland region in West Africa, covering 1990-2050 , Series title: Impact of Climate Change on Drylands with a focus on West Africa., CERES/DLO/WAU/RIVM, Wageningen, (1998)

• Climate Action Tracker Reports and Updates
• Scaling up Climate Action in Australia Ursula Fuentes, Bill Hare, Anna Chapman, Tina Aboumahboub, Himalaya Bir Shrestha, Anne Zimmer, Charlotte Plinke, Michiel Schaefer, Bob Brecha, Matt Gidden. Graphic design: Matt Beer (2020)
• Paris Agreement Compatible Sectoral Benchmarks New Climate Institute: Louise Jeffery, Anna Nilsson, Niklas Höhne, Markus Hagemann; Climate Analytics: Marie-Camille Attard, Ursula Fuentes Hutfilter, Andreas Geiges, Matthew Gidden, Bill Hare, Michiel Schaeffer, Ryan Wilson. Graphic design: Matt Beer (2020)
• Scaling up climate action in Turkey NewClimate Institute: Hanna Fekete, Frederic Hans, Takeshi Kuramochi, Niklas Höhne, Nicolas Fux Climate Analytics: Tina Aboumahboub, Ursula Fuentes Hutfilter, Michiel Schaeffer, Bill Hare, Matt Beer Ecofys: Thibaud Lemercier, Wieke Hofsteenge, Yvonne Deng, Tom Berg, Kornelis Blok (2019)
• Pledged action leads to 2.9°C - time to boost national climate action Climate Analytics, New Climate Institute (2019)
• Scaling up climate action in Argentina New Climate Institute, Climate Analytics (2019)

• Transformation points - Achieving the speed and scale required for full decarbonisation Yannick Monschauer, Thibaud Lemercier, Yvonne Deng, Lisa Luna, Niklas Höhne, Robert Brecha, Jasmin Cantzler, Gaurav Ganti, Michiel Schaeffer, Ursula Fuentes HutfilterClimate Action Tracker, (2019)
• Scaling up climate action in the European Union: Key opportunities for transitioning to a zero emissions society Andrzej Ancygier, Tina Aboumahboub, Anne Zimmer, Ursula Fuentes Hutfilter, Robert Brecha, Michiel Schaefer, Bill Hare, Matt Beer, Frederic Hans, Hanna Fekete, Keno Riechers, Takeshi Kuramochi, Niklas Höhne, Nicolas Fux, Thibaud Lemercier, Tom Berg, Yvonne Deng, Kornelis Blok (2018)
• Scaling up climate action in South Africa Ecofys, New Climate Institute, Climate Analytics (2018)
• Paris Tango. Climate action so far in 2018: individual countries step forward, others backward, risking stranded coal assets Climate Action Tracker (2018)
• Improvement in warming outlook as India and China move ahead, but Paris Agreement gap still looms large Climate Action Tracker (2017)
• Foot off the gas: increased reliance on natural gas in the power sector risks an emissions lock-in Climate Action Tracker (2017)
• The ten most important short-term steps to limit warming to 1.5°C Climate Action Tracker (2016)
• 2.7°C is not enough – we can get lower Louise Jeffery, Claire Fyson, Ryan Alexander, Johannes Gütschow (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research), Marcia Rocha, Jasmin Cantzler, Michiel Schaeffer, Bill Hare (Climate Analytics), Markus Hagemann, Niklas Höhne (NewClimate Institute), Pieter van Breevoort, Kornelis Blok (Ecofys) (2015)
• The Coal Gap: planned coal-fired power plants inconsistent with 2˚C and threaten achievement of INDCs Pieter van Breevoort, Kornelis Blok (Ecofys), Markus Hagemann, Hanna Fekete, Niklas Höhne (NewClimate Institute), Bill Hare, Michiel Schaeffer, Marcia Rocha (Climate Analytics), Louise Jeffery (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research) (2015)
• INDCs lower projected warming to 2.7 ̊C: significant progress but still above 2oC Johannes Gütschow, Louise Jeffery, Ryan Alexander (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research), Bill Hare, Michiel Schaeffer, Marcia Rocha (Climate Analytics), Niklas Höhne, Hanna Fekete (NewClimate Institute), Pieter van Breevoort, Kornelis Blok (Ecofys) (2015)
• How close are INDCs to 2°C and 1.5° pathways? Louise Jeffery, Ryan Alexander (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research) Bill Hare, Marcia Rocha, Michiel Schaeffer (Climate Analytics) Niklas Höhne, Hanna Fekete (NewClimate Institute) Pieter van Breevoort, Kornelis Blok (Ecofys) (2015)
• Are governments doing their “fair share”? - New method assesses climate action Niklas Höhne, Hanna Fekete, Markus Hagemann, Bill Hare, Marcia Rocha, Michiel Schaeffer, Fabio Sferra, Louise Jeffery, Kornelis Blok, Yvonne Deng (2015)
• Switzerland INDC: first in, but room for improvement Höhne, Niklas, Fekete Hanna, Hagemann Markus, Sferra Fabio, Rocha Marcia, Hare Bill, Schaeffer Michiel, Jeffery Louise, Blok Kornelis, and Deng Yvonne (2015)
• Has the EU Commission weakened its climate proposal? Possibly Höhne, Niklas, Fekete Hanna, Hagemann Markus, Hare Bill, Schaeffer Michiel, Rocha Marcia, Sferra Fabio, Jeffery Louise, Gütschow Johannes, Blok Kornelis, van Breevoort Pieter, and Deng Yvonne (2015)
• China and the US: how does their climate action compare? Niklas Höhne, Hanna Fekete, Markus Hagemann, Karlien Wouters, Bill Hare, Michiel Schaeffer, Fabio Sferra, Marie Lindberg, Louise Jeffery, Marcia Rocha, Cindy Baxter (2014)
• Australian Energy "Green Paper" foresees continuing increase in coal use: undermines 2°C goal and heads towards 4°C world Bill Hare, Fabio Sferra, Michiel Schaeffer Niklas Höhne, Hanna Fekete, Louise Jeffery, Marcia Rocha, Cindy Baxter, Karlien Wouters (2014)
• Below 2°C or 1.5°C depends on rapid action from both Annex I and non-Annex I countries Bill Hare, Michiel Schaeffer, Marie Lindberg, Niklas Höhne, Hanna Fekete, Louise Jeffery, Johannes Gütschow, Fabio Sferra, Marcia Rocha (2014)
• Warsaw unpacked: a race to the bottom? Bill Hare, Marcia Rocha, Louise Jeffery, Johannes Gütschow, Joeri Rogelj, Michiel Schaeffer, Lila Warszawski, Marion Vieweg, Cindy Baxter, Niklas Höhne (2013)
• Analysis of current greenhouse gas emission trends Hanna Fekete, Marion Vieweg, Marcia Rocha, Nadine Braun, Marie Lindberg, Johannes Gütschow, Louise Jefferey, Niklas Höhne, Bill Hare, Michiel Schaeffer, Kirsten Macey, Julia Larkin (2013)
• Japan: from frontrunner to laggard Louise Jeffery, Johannes Gütschow, Marion Vieweg, Michiel Schaeffer, Bill Hare, Marcia Rocha, Felix Fallasch (2013)
• Climate shuffle: Climate Action Tracker Update Marion Vieweg, Bill Hare, Niklas Höhne, Michiel Schaeffer, Marcia Rocha, Julia Larkin, Hanna Fekete, Johannes Gütschow, Louise Jeffery (2013)
• Warning of climate science - again - written in Doha sand Niklas Höhne, Marion Vieweg, Bill Hare, Michiel Schaeffer, Joeri Rogelj, Marcia Rocha, Johannes Gütschow, Carl-­‐Friedrich Schleussner, Felix Fallasch, Julia Larkin, Hanna Fekete, (2012)
• Climate Action Tracker update: 2° be or not 2° be Marion Vieweg, Bill Hare, Niklas Höhne, Michiel Schaeffer, Joeri Rogelj, Julia Larkin, Hanna Fekete, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner (2012)
• Climate Action Tracker Update: Governments still set on 3°C warming track, some progress, but many playing with numbers Marion Vieweg, Bill Hare, Niklas Höhne, Michiel Schaeffer, Marcia Rocha, Julia Larkin, Hanna Fekete, Kirsten Macey, Johannes Gütschow (2012)
• Climate Action Tracker Mexico – Assessment of Mexico's policies impacting its greenhouse gas emissions profile Niklas Höhne, Bill Hare, Marion Viewe, Sara Moltmann, Markus Hagemann, Viviane Schüler, Michiel Schaeffer, Hanna Fekete, Marcia Rocha (2012)
• After Durban: Risk of delay in raising ambition lowers chances for 2°C, while heading for 3.5°C Niklas Höhne, Bill Hare, Michiel Schaeffer, and Marion Vieweg-Mersmann (2011)
• Negotiations heading towards high warming, high cost pathway Niklas Höhne, Bill Hare, Michiel Schaeffer, Claudine Chen, Marcia Rocha, Marion Vieweg-Mersmann, Hanna Fekete, Joeri Rogelj, Kirsten Macey, and Felix Fallasch (2011)
• China emission paradox: Cancun emissions intensity pledge to be surpassed but emissions higher Bill Hare, Michiel Schaeffer, Marion Vieweg-Mersmann, Niklas Höhne (2011)