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Germany needs to exit coal by 2030 to meet Paris Agreement 1.5˚C limit: report

Germany needs to exit coal by 2030 to meet Paris Agreement 1.5˚C limit: report

A new Climate Analytics report shows for the first time that Germany will need to rapidly exit coal from electricity generation by 2030, as part of the global coal exit by 2050 the IPCC shows is needed to meet the Paris Agreement 1.5°C limit, and this will also bring massive health benefits."Read more and download report here (Coal Phase Out Germany [852])":/briefings/coal-phase-out-germany/
24 October 2018


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Coal Phase Out

Coal is the most carbon intensive fossil fuel and phasing it out is a key step to achieve the emissions reductions needed to limit global warming to 1.5°C, as enshrined in the Paris Agreement. Our research shows that the EU and OECD countries must stop burning coal for electricity by 2030, China by 2040 and the rest of the world by mid-century in order to meet commitments made in Paris in the most cost effective manner.

1.5°C - key facts

Since 2009 over a hundred Small Island Developing States, Least Developed Countries and many others have been calling for limiting global temperature rise to below 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. Placing the 1.5°C limit alongside the legally binding goal to hold global temperatures “well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels” in the Paris Agreement was a major victory for vulnerable countries. This page is an information pool for material around the 1.5°C temperature limit.



RegioClim is an online tool that gives non-expert users simple access to regional climate projections for all African countries for five climate indicators: temperature, hot extremes, precipitation, wet extremes and 5-day wet extremes. Its key feature is the ability to access projections not just at the national but also at the province level.


All Events

ISIpedia indicator workshop in Eastern Europe

This workshop aims to facilitate exchange between stakeholders and modellers in order to identify and derive relevant indicators (sectoral and/or cross-sectoral) within the possibilities of ISIMIP data.  

28-30.11.2018 Krakow, Poland

Media coverage

All Media coverage
The Dire Warnings of the United Nations’ Latest Climate-Change Report

The Dire Warnings of the United Nations’ Latest Climate-Change ReportThe New Yorker

The New Yorker coverage of the IPCC special report on 1.5°C, quoting Climate Analytics' Dr Adelle Thomas. “Robust scientific literature now shows that there are significant differences between 1.5 and 2 degrees,” Adelle Thomas, a geographer from the Bahamas and also one of the report’s lead authors, told me. “The scientific consensus is really strong. It’s not just a political slogan: ‘1.5 to stay alive.’ It’s true.”

08 October 2018

Major Climate Report Describes a Strong Risk of Crisis as Early as 2040

Major Climate Report Describes a Strong Risk of Crisis as Early as 2040The New York Times

INCHEON, South Korea — A landmark report from the United Nations’ scientific panel on climate change paints a far more dire picture of the immediate consequences of climate change than previously thought and says that avoiding the damage requires transforming the world economy at a speed and scale that has “no documented historic precedent.” The report “is quite a shock, and quite concerning,” said Bill Hare, an author of previous I.P.C.C. reports and a physicist with Climate Analytics, a nonprofit organization. “We were not aware of this just a few years ago.”

07 October 2018

UN report: 'Unprecedented changes' needed to protect Earth from global warming

UN report: 'Unprecedented changes' needed to protect Earth from global warmingUSA Today

A landmark report released Sunday from the world's top climate change group said "rapid, far-reaching and unprecedented changes in all aspects of society" are required to ward off the worst impacts of global warming. This report shows the longer we wait, "the more difficult, the more expensive and the more dangerous it will be,” said Bill Hare, a physicist with the nonprofit group Climate Analytics.

07 October 2018


Integrated Assessment Models of climate change mitigation, assessed in IPCC Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5°C (IPCC SR1.5), show a large spectrum of 1.5°C- compatible pathways that limit warming to this level during the century, or exceed it by only a limited amount of less than 0.1°C (“low overshoot”). This Climate Analytics submission to the Talanoa Dialogue, which unpacks in some detail the implications of these pathways.  
Germany needs to phase coal out of its electricity sector by 2030 to meet its obligations under the Paris Agreement. This is earlier than the dates discussed so far by the Coal Commission, a body established to come up with a coal exit plan by the end of 2018.If Germany follows the Paris Agreement compatible pathway we propose here, it can also make significant steps towards meeting its 2020 emission reduction targets – something seen as impossible at the moment.Under a planned and structured coal phase out, energy security and reliability of electricity supply is not expected to be a major concern and will be manageable. As well as reduced health impacts, a coal exit from electricity generation by 2030 in Germany will bring added benefits in job creation, helping to smooth the transition to a zero-carbon energy system.