Climate risk dashboard

The Climate risk dashboard (BETA) allows you to explore future impacts from climate change as the world warms. Pick a geography, select one or several scenarios, and explore corresponding impacts.

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Fossil gas: a bridge to nowhere

The war in Ukraine and the on-going energy crisis have made it clear that a green energy transition is not only essential for avoiding the worst impacts of climate change. It is also a security matter. While there is growing consensus on the need for a power sector coal phase-out, fossil gas has largely flown under the radar.

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G7 climate policy: what good looks like

At the UN climate summit COP26, governments made a collective commitment to bring forward 2030 targets this year that are in line with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C temperature goal. This policy brief outlines six key policy recommendations for this June’s G7 summit that, if adopted, would demonstrate the ambition and leadership needed to keep the 1.5°C limit in sight and to maintain the momentum that was developed at COP26.

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Why gas is the new coal

Gas has no place in a 1.5˚C world, and its use should already have peaked, but instead the expansion of the industry continues to rise. Gas is not a “bridging fuel”, it is still a fossil fuel, and to reach the Paris Agreement’s warming limit, governments, investors and multilateral finance institutions must treat it the same way they do coal: target gas for a swift phase-out.

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The Climate Action Tracker

The Climate action tracker is an independent scientific analysis that tracks government climate action and measures it against the globally agreed Paris Agreement aim of “holding warming well below 2°C, and pursuing efforts to limit warming to 1.5°C.”

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1.5°C national pathway explorer

Explore 1.5°C national pathways for countries and sector-specific decarbonisation benchmarks derived from global IPCC pathways compatible with the Paris Agreement.

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Climate impact explorer

This tool shows how the severity of climate change impacts will increase over time in regions, countries and provinces at different levels of warming, starting with 1.5°C, the limit in the Paris Agreement. It also allows access to the underlying data.

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Latest

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Renewable energy transition in sub-Saharan Africa

Renewable energy transition in sub-Saharan Africa

Sub-Saharan Africa is at a pivotal crossroads in its development. Its choice of energy for the future will be decisive in achieving its sustainable development ambitions, including clean and affordable electricity access for all. Our report, released during COP27 in Sharm-al-Sheikh, provides an overview of the state of the energy transition in sub-Saharan Africa.
15 November 2022
Massive gas expansion risks overtaking positive climate policies

Massive gas expansion risks overtaking positive climate policies

The goldrush for gas continues and is counterproductive to the Paris Agreement. The energy crisis caused by Russia’s illegal invasion of Ukraine has sent governments scrambling to shore up energy security. However, in many cases governments are doubling down on fossil fuels – the very cause of the climate crisis – knocking climate action down the policy agenda, despite the fact that renewables, efficiency and electrification are by far the cheapest, fastest and most secure options. Across the world the oil and gas industry is pushing fossil gas as the route out of the crisis. The 2022 update of the IEA’s Net Zero by 2050 Road map shows that due to accelerating reductions in the cost of renewables and storage and other technologies, the total gas use globally by 2030 needs to be at least 30% below 2021 levels, about 45% faster than estimated a year ago in 2021.
10 November 2022

Briefings

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Coal Phase Out

Coal is the most carbon intensive fossil fuel and phasing it out is a key step to achieve the emissions reductions needed to limit global warming to 1.5°C, as enshrined in the Paris Agreement. Most emissions from coal are in the electricity sector and, as we already have the technologies that can replace coal, phase out is a relatively cheap and easy option to reduce emissions. Our research shows coal needs to be phased out globally by 2040 to meet the commitments made in Paris.

1.5°C

Since 2009 over a hundred Small Island Developing States, Least Developed Countries and many others have been calling for limiting global temperature rise to below 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. Placing the 1.5°C limit alongside the legally binding goal to hold global temperatures “well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels” in the Paris Agreement was a major victory for vulnerable countries. This page is an information pool for material around the 1.5°C temperature limit.

Media coverage

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Cop27. La limite du réchauffement climatique à 1,5 °C va-t-elle être enterrée ?

Cop27. La limite du réchauffement climatique à 1,5 °C va-t-elle être enterrée ?

"I share everyone’s frustration about the state of global climate action to date. But this critical decade has 8 years more to go. Walking away from this ambition when we will never have a better shot at averting the worst would be an enormous moral failure." - Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, discussing the 1.5C limit.

18 November 2022

Publications

This report, produced in collaboration with Solutions for Our Climate, calculates a 1.5°C-aligned phase out date for fossil gas in the South Korean power sector. We find that South Korea should aim to phase out fossil gas from the power sector before 2035.