The 1.5°C limit
The 1.5°C warming limit is the cornerstone of ambitious climate action. The science tells us keeping within this limit is feasible and is essential if we are to avoid permanent and devastating climate impacts.
We have pioneered science detailing the impacts of warming at 1.5°C compared to higher levels of warming to illustrate the relevance and urgency of climate action. Our policy analysis and advice is also framed around this limit to set out what climate action in line with the best science looks like from national to global levels.
Supporting climate-vulnerable countries in strengthening their roles and voices in international climate negotiations.
The RESCUE (Response of the Earth System to overshoot, Climate neutrality and negative Emissions) project aims to improve our knowledge and understanding of the climate and Earth system responses to climate neutrality and net negative emissions.
Coal is the most carbon intensive fossil fuel - phasing it out is key to achieving the 1.5°C Paris Agreement goal. Most emissions from coal are in the electricity sector, so coal’s phase out is relatively cheap and easy, as the technologies that can replace it already exist. Our research shows coal needs to be phased out globally by 2040 for the world to meet its climate commitments.
This project is working to develop the science around what the climate impacts of temporarily overshooting 1.5°C would mean for our climate.
The Carbon Dioxide Removal Options: Policies and Ethics (CDR-PoEt) project examines policy instruments and pathways towards fair deployment of carbon dioxide removal to meet the objectives of the Paris Agreement.
The Assessment of climate change Mitigation Pathways and Evaluation of the Robustness of mitigation cost Estimates (AMPERE) project makes multi-model comparisons to better understand climate and cost uncertainties.
The Network of Central Banks and Supervisors for Greening the Financial System (NGFS) is a voluntary group of banks and supervisors that aim to share best practices on climate risk management in the financial sector and to mobilise mainstream finance to promote the transition to a sustainable economy. Climate Analytics contributes to this work by providing estimates of risk from climate change impacts using future climate projections and makes them publicly available through the Climate Impact Explorer online tool.
The Climate Risk Adaptation and Insurance in the Caribbean (CRAIC) project, led by Munich Climate Insurance Initiative, assists Caribbean countries in their efforts to increase social resilience and adapt to climate change by incorporating climate risk insurance within a broader framework of disaster risk reduction strategies.
The project aims to investigate how changes in land cover and land management can help to meet the mitigation and adaptation objectives of the Paris Agreement, and the Sustainable Development Goals.
From 2012 to 2014 we authored a series of reports for the World Bank looking at the impacts of climate change in a 4°C world with an emphasis on the impacts for the most vulnerable.
The HLSM High-Level Support Mechanism for LDC and SIDS on Climate Change project creates a support mechanism for high-level political representatives and their advisors from LDCs and SIDS that is demand-driven, responsive to ongoing needs and firmly rooted in the respective regions.
We assisted the Governments of a number of countries in their domestic preparation for the formulation of their intended nationally determined contributions (INDCs), in the context of the 2015 climate agreement.
El Niño is contributing to the hottest temperatures ever recorded – what does this mean for the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit?
Extreme weather is raging across the northern hemisphere. Our experts explain the implications of the emerging El Niño for our changing climate.
Climate Science Beats Climate Fatalism
Now that the Earth has warmed roughly 1.2°C, “once-in-a-century” heatwaves, forest fires, and floods are becoming more familiar to us. But there is still a massive difference between 1.2°C and 1.5°C, and the science shows that it is still possible to end this century at or below that threshold.
G7 moving faster on climate since last Summit, but behind schedule on ending coal and gas
As world leaders gather at the G7 Summit in Hiroshima this weekend, we take a look at progress made since the last Summit on cutting emissions and decarbonising power to see if they’re living up to their promises.
South Korea’s gas problem
South Korea is investing heavily in gas-fired power generation. This raises concerns of overlooking cheaper forms of generations – like renewables – and increasing the country's reliance on overseas fossil fuel imports.
Peak emissions before 2025: key messages from the IPCC’s Synthesis Report
The IPCC's final report of its Sixth Assessment Cycle is a comprehensive overview of the state of climate change and a roadmap for action in this critical. Our experts pull out the key messages.
Climate COPs are working, but follow-through on pre-2030 climate ambition is a must this year to keep the faith
Can higher ambition in developed countries create ‘carbon space’ for others?
What does a 'fair share' of global emissions look like for Africa and South Asia? Both regions have low historical emissions and a strong claim to the remaining carbon space.
Is the 1.5°C limit still in reach? FAQs
The Paris Agreement aims at “holding the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels and pursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, recognising that this would significantly reduce the risks and impacts of climate change”. Here we address some commonly asked questions.