Decarbonisation targets and 1.5℃ pathways
Climate change calls for an international response, but also requires government and industry action to meet our global goals. We know that to prevent dangerous, irreversible climate change, the world needs to limit warming to 1.5°C.
To help governments, civil society and the private sector understand the pace of change required, we develop new methods to calculate the emission reductions needed to decarbonise in line with this planetary limit.
Our work focuses on:
- tracking global and national climate action
- assessing the adequacy of national targets and sectoral policies
- setting benchmarks in areas such as fossil fuel phase out and renewables scale up
- assessing and modelling different mitigation options and their co-benefits
- identifying national investment needs for the energy transition
The Carbon Dioxide Removal Options: Policies and Ethics (CDR-PoEt) project examines policy instruments and pathways towards fair deployment of carbon dioxide removal to meet the objectives of the Paris Agreement.
The Assessment of climate change Mitigation Pathways and Evaluation of the Robustness of mitigation cost Estimates (AMPERE) project makes multi-model comparisons to better understand climate and cost uncertainties.
The project aims to investigate how changes in land cover and land management can help to meet the mitigation and adaptation objectives of the Paris Agreement, and the Sustainable Development Goals.
Coal is the most carbon intensive fossil fuel - phasing it out is key to achieving the 1.5°C Paris Agreement goal. Most emissions from coal are in the electricity sector, so coal’s phase out is relatively cheap and easy, as the technologies that can replace it already exist. Our research shows coal needs to be phased out globally by 2040 for the world to meet its climate commitments.
This project seeks to identify overlaps in the policy framework for passenger transport emissions in Hungary, Lithuania, Poland and Romania and close the existing gaps, providing examples of best practice from other countries.
Supporting climate-vulnerable countries in strengthening their roles and voices in international climate negotiations.
We assisted the Governments of a number of countries in their domestic preparation for the formulation of their intended nationally determined contributions (INDCs), in the context of the 2015 climate agreement.
From 2012 to 2014 we authored a series of reports for the World Bank looking at the impacts of climate change in a 4°C world with an emphasis on the impacts for the most vulnerable.
8 things to know about the state of climate action today
A major new report looks at climate action across all parts of the global economy to find that only electric vehicle sales are on track for 1.5°C.
Beetaloo gas field is a climate bomb. How did CSIRO modelling make it look otherwise?
The fossil gas industry is gearing up for a truly enormous new fracking project in the Northern Territory’s Beetaloo Basin that could undo all Australia's efforts to cut emissions.
G20 renewables target is no substitute for a clear fossil fuel phase out
The G20's new target of tripling renewables by 2030 is welcome, but the world will only meet its climate goals if this is coupled with a fossil fuel phaseout.
What the new IMO climate targets mean for shipping emissions
The International Maritime Organization has agreed new 2030 and 2050 climate targets for the shipping sector. We take a look at what this means for shipping emissions.
Climate Science Beats Climate Fatalism
Now that the Earth has warmed roughly 1.2°C, “once-in-a-century” heatwaves, forest fires, and floods are becoming more familiar to us. But there is still a massive difference between 1.2°C and 1.5°C, and the science shows that it is still possible to end this century at or below that threshold.
Influential oil company scenarios for combating climate change don’t actually meet the Paris Agreement goals, our new analysis shows
This piece, originally published in The Conversation, highlights our research into decarbonisation scenarios put out by the IEA, BP, Shell and Equinor. Our research team found that none of the assessed scenarios from oil majors are consistent with the Paris Agreement.
G7 moving faster on climate since last Summit, but behind schedule on ending coal and gas
As world leaders gather at the G7 Summit in Hiroshima this weekend, we take a look at progress made since the last Summit on cutting emissions and decarbonising power to see if they’re living up to their promises.
Peak emissions before 2025: key messages from the IPCC’s Synthesis Report
The IPCC's final report of its Sixth Assessment Cycle is a comprehensive overview of the state of climate change and a roadmap for action in this critical. Our experts pull out the key messages.
Gas is casting a long shadow over green development in Africa
Despite having 60% of the world’s solar resources the continent has less than 2% of the world’s investment in renewable energy. At COP27, there were calls to expand African gas, risking locking in high emissions, burdening their economies with stranded assets, and potentially losing out on major economic opportunities to invest in renewable energy and green hydrogen.