About usClimate Analytics is a global climate science and policy institute engaged around the world in driving and supporting climate action aligned to the 1.5°C warming limit.
Decarbonisation targets and 1.5°C pathwaysTo help governments, civil society and the private sector understand the pace of change required, we develop new methods to calculate the emission reductions needed to decarbonise in line with this planetary limit.
Homepage > Publications > Extending Near-Term Emissions Scenarios to Assess Warming Implications of Paris Agreement NDCs’ 17 September, 2018 Extending Near-Term Emissions Scenarios to Assess Warming Implications of Paris Agreement NDCs’Authors Johannes Gütschow, Mairi Louise Jeffery, Michiel Schaeffer, Bill Hare First publishedShare Publications Submission on the Australian government's review of the Safeguard MechanismIn Climate Analytics Australia's submission to the Australian government review of the Safeguard Mechanism we argue that the government needs to set up a proper Emissions Trading Regime for industrial emissions, rather than the current situation of allowing unlimited offsets. A fossil fuel free AustraliaWe have modelled a fossil fuel phase-out for Australia that looks at the country's energy system identifying what the government needs to do to get emissions onto a net zero, 1.5˚C aligned pathway. Cutting methane, limiting overshoot: pathways for Paris alignmentThis report assesses the scale of methane reductions required this decade and beyond to align with the temperature limit of the Paris Agreement. Climate-induced loss and damage in Nepal: attribution analysis and institutional readiness for international supportThis study assesses climate-induced loss and damage in Nepal through a mixed-methods approach that integrates probabilistic event attribution with mapping and analysis of policy and governance frameworks. Highest possible ambition: science-aligned fossil fuel phase-out pathwaysThis brief presents some timelines on what transitioning away from fossil fuels could look like at both the global and national level, building on the Highest Possible Ambition scenario released last year by Climate Analytics and PIK. Focusing on fossil fuel demand, this brief provides data on the fossil fuel transition for a selected set of 15 countries. Never let an energy crisis go to waste: government responses to the US-Israel war on IranOur flagship project the Climate Action Tracker has released a briefing, in the context of the US-Israel war on Iran, looking at what government responses work toward an energy transition and a decarbonisation of the global economy. Pathways to Implementing GST Recommendations in the CaribbeanThis report examines how the Caribbean can operationalise the Global Stocktake's (GST) “energy package” within its structural constraints. It assesses current transition targets, proposes guidance, and establishes benchmarks to support the global objective of limiting warming to 1.5°C – including country deepdives for Saint Lucia, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Belize, and Trinidad and Tobago. How import rules can cut global methane emissionsThis briefing explores how the European Union’s new rules for imported oil, gas, and coal could drive methane emissions cuts far beyond its borders – and how, if other major importers follow, they could help close more than 40% of the gap to a 1.5°C-consistent methane pathway. Submission to the Australian Senate Select Committee on the Taxation of Gas ResourcesThis submission mainly considers the climate implications of prospective changes to Australia’s gas and LNG taxation regime.It notes opportunities for Australia to achieve ambitious climate action while safeguarding energy and economic security. Assessing household adaptive capacity to heatwaves in Ouagadougou, Burkina FasoNew peer-reviewed papers highlights that adaptation to heat waves in Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso, relies largely on reactive behavioural responses – such as modifying activity schedules, increasing water consumption, or using outdoor spaces for sleeping – rather than structural strategies. Adaptive capacity is heavily constrained by socioeconomic inequalities. Rescuing shipping's Net Zero FrameworkThe International Maritime Organization's (IMO) proposed Net Zero Framework (NZF) offers a critical pathway for reducing emissions in international shipping and aligning the sector with global climate goals. This Climate Action Tracker briefing examines the potential temperature warming implications of the NZF, comparied with a business-as-usual scenario. Navigating the just transition: trends and knowledge for the CaribbeanThis report explores how Caribbean Small Island Developing States can advance a just transition from fossil fuels to a sustainable, net-zero future in the face of climate change, economic vulnerability, and limited resources.
Submission on the Australian government's review of the Safeguard MechanismIn Climate Analytics Australia's submission to the Australian government review of the Safeguard Mechanism we argue that the government needs to set up a proper Emissions Trading Regime for industrial emissions, rather than the current situation of allowing unlimited offsets.
A fossil fuel free AustraliaWe have modelled a fossil fuel phase-out for Australia that looks at the country's energy system identifying what the government needs to do to get emissions onto a net zero, 1.5˚C aligned pathway.
Cutting methane, limiting overshoot: pathways for Paris alignmentThis report assesses the scale of methane reductions required this decade and beyond to align with the temperature limit of the Paris Agreement.
Climate-induced loss and damage in Nepal: attribution analysis and institutional readiness for international supportThis study assesses climate-induced loss and damage in Nepal through a mixed-methods approach that integrates probabilistic event attribution with mapping and analysis of policy and governance frameworks.
Highest possible ambition: science-aligned fossil fuel phase-out pathwaysThis brief presents some timelines on what transitioning away from fossil fuels could look like at both the global and national level, building on the Highest Possible Ambition scenario released last year by Climate Analytics and PIK. Focusing on fossil fuel demand, this brief provides data on the fossil fuel transition for a selected set of 15 countries.
Never let an energy crisis go to waste: government responses to the US-Israel war on IranOur flagship project the Climate Action Tracker has released a briefing, in the context of the US-Israel war on Iran, looking at what government responses work toward an energy transition and a decarbonisation of the global economy.
Pathways to Implementing GST Recommendations in the CaribbeanThis report examines how the Caribbean can operationalise the Global Stocktake's (GST) “energy package” within its structural constraints. It assesses current transition targets, proposes guidance, and establishes benchmarks to support the global objective of limiting warming to 1.5°C – including country deepdives for Saint Lucia, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Belize, and Trinidad and Tobago.
How import rules can cut global methane emissionsThis briefing explores how the European Union’s new rules for imported oil, gas, and coal could drive methane emissions cuts far beyond its borders – and how, if other major importers follow, they could help close more than 40% of the gap to a 1.5°C-consistent methane pathway.
Submission to the Australian Senate Select Committee on the Taxation of Gas ResourcesThis submission mainly considers the climate implications of prospective changes to Australia’s gas and LNG taxation regime.It notes opportunities for Australia to achieve ambitious climate action while safeguarding energy and economic security.
Assessing household adaptive capacity to heatwaves in Ouagadougou, Burkina FasoNew peer-reviewed papers highlights that adaptation to heat waves in Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso, relies largely on reactive behavioural responses – such as modifying activity schedules, increasing water consumption, or using outdoor spaces for sleeping – rather than structural strategies. Adaptive capacity is heavily constrained by socioeconomic inequalities.
Rescuing shipping's Net Zero FrameworkThe International Maritime Organization's (IMO) proposed Net Zero Framework (NZF) offers a critical pathway for reducing emissions in international shipping and aligning the sector with global climate goals. This Climate Action Tracker briefing examines the potential temperature warming implications of the NZF, comparied with a business-as-usual scenario.
Navigating the just transition: trends and knowledge for the CaribbeanThis report explores how Caribbean Small Island Developing States can advance a just transition from fossil fuels to a sustainable, net-zero future in the face of climate change, economic vulnerability, and limited resources.
