About usClimate Analytics is a global climate science and policy institute engaged around the world in driving and supporting climate action aligned to the 1.5°C warming limit.
Decarbonisation targets and 1.5°C pathwaysTo help governments, civil society and the private sector understand the pace of change required, we develop new methods to calculate the emission reductions needed to decarbonise in line with this planetary limit.
Homepage > Publications > Extending Near-Term Emissions Scenarios to Assess Warming Implications of Paris Agreement NDCs’ 17 September, 2018 Extending Near-Term Emissions Scenarios to Assess Warming Implications of Paris Agreement NDCs’Authors Johannes Gütschow, Mairi Louise Jeffery, Michiel Schaeffer, Bill Hare First publishedShare Publications Rescuing shipping's Net Zero FrameworkThe International Maritime Organization's (IMO) proposed Net Zero Framework (NZF) offers a critical pathway for reducing emissions in international shipping and aligning the sector with global climate goals. This Climate Action Tracker briefing examines the potential temperature warming implications of the NZF, comparied with a business-as-usual scenario. Navigating the just transition: trends and knowledge for the CaribbeanThis report explores how Caribbean Small Island Developing States can advance a just transition from fossil fuels to a sustainable, net-zero future in the face of climate change, economic vulnerability, and limited resources. Combating heat stress through urban planning: Integrated case studies for Lisbon and IslamabadNew peer-reviewed study examines the effectiveness of nature-based adaptation solutions to combat heat stress and high temperatures in Lisbon and Islamabad. Local stakeholders were involved in the design of the urban nature-based solutions, which were found to offer localised respite from heat stress by up to 40% during the day, mainly by providing shading from direct sunlight and by reducing land surface temperatures. Extreme heat risks in Germany: priorities for adaptation and preparednessReport finds that heat extremes are projected to rise significantly across German cities this century, with levels strongly determined by global climate change mitigation efforts. The report highlights on seven urban areas: Berlin, Frankfurt am Main (Frankfurt a. M.), Cologne, Düsseldorf, Munich, Leipzig, and Hamburg. Decarbonising electricity, cement, iron and steel, and chemicals in Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina and SerbiaThis four-part series explores technical and policy decarbonisation opportunities for the Western Balkans in key industries affected by the EU's incoming Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM). AEMO's gas projections for Western Australia: analysisThe Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) has just released its gas projections for Western Australia, the results of which highlight the absence of climate policies in the state. Troubled waters: risks and realities of blue carbon in climate actionCarbon stored in coastal and marine ecosystems, such as mangroves, salt marshes, and seagrass meadows (blue carbon) is viewed as a potential bridge between mitigation, adaptation, and climate finance. However, as this brief explores, the viability of blue carbon as a mitigation option is questionable due to the fragility of these systems and the use of blue carbon as offsets counterproductive. Catalysing LT-LEDS implementation in Africa: Insights, bottlenecks, and solutions from country experiencesThis report examines how African countries are advancing from the design to the implementation of their Long-Term Low-Emission Development Strategies (LT-LEDS), drawing on case studies from Burkina Faso, Ethiopia, Kenya, Nigeria, Rwanda South Africa, Rwanda, Uganda, Zambia, and Zimbabwe, as well as extensive desk research and comparative analysis. Loss and damage financing and debt sustainability: advancing justice and equity in the CaribbeanThis report highlights the cyclical relationship between climate-induced loss and damage and growing fiscal debt levels in Caribbean SIDS. The report offers several policy recommendations to break the cycle of debt and climate vulnerability. Annual report 2024While geopolitics shifted significantly in 2024, our focus remained unwavering: working with countries most at risk to advance climate-resilient development, holding major emitters to account, and accelerating climate action aligned with the 1.5°C limit. Three key near-term actions could bend the warming curve; bringing projected warming below 2°CTripling renewables, doubling energy efficiency and cutting methane by 2030 and beyond would cut warming rate by a third in ten years, and halve it by 2040. This would cut projected warming this century about 0.9˚C from 2.6˚C to 1.7˚C. Climate Action Tracker: 2025 warming projection updateLittle change in warming outlook for four years; new 2035 climate targets make no difference
Rescuing shipping's Net Zero FrameworkThe International Maritime Organization's (IMO) proposed Net Zero Framework (NZF) offers a critical pathway for reducing emissions in international shipping and aligning the sector with global climate goals. This Climate Action Tracker briefing examines the potential temperature warming implications of the NZF, comparied with a business-as-usual scenario.
Navigating the just transition: trends and knowledge for the CaribbeanThis report explores how Caribbean Small Island Developing States can advance a just transition from fossil fuels to a sustainable, net-zero future in the face of climate change, economic vulnerability, and limited resources.
Combating heat stress through urban planning: Integrated case studies for Lisbon and IslamabadNew peer-reviewed study examines the effectiveness of nature-based adaptation solutions to combat heat stress and high temperatures in Lisbon and Islamabad. Local stakeholders were involved in the design of the urban nature-based solutions, which were found to offer localised respite from heat stress by up to 40% during the day, mainly by providing shading from direct sunlight and by reducing land surface temperatures.
Extreme heat risks in Germany: priorities for adaptation and preparednessReport finds that heat extremes are projected to rise significantly across German cities this century, with levels strongly determined by global climate change mitigation efforts. The report highlights on seven urban areas: Berlin, Frankfurt am Main (Frankfurt a. M.), Cologne, Düsseldorf, Munich, Leipzig, and Hamburg.
Decarbonising electricity, cement, iron and steel, and chemicals in Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina and SerbiaThis four-part series explores technical and policy decarbonisation opportunities for the Western Balkans in key industries affected by the EU's incoming Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM).
AEMO's gas projections for Western Australia: analysisThe Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) has just released its gas projections for Western Australia, the results of which highlight the absence of climate policies in the state.
Troubled waters: risks and realities of blue carbon in climate actionCarbon stored in coastal and marine ecosystems, such as mangroves, salt marshes, and seagrass meadows (blue carbon) is viewed as a potential bridge between mitigation, adaptation, and climate finance. However, as this brief explores, the viability of blue carbon as a mitigation option is questionable due to the fragility of these systems and the use of blue carbon as offsets counterproductive.
Catalysing LT-LEDS implementation in Africa: Insights, bottlenecks, and solutions from country experiencesThis report examines how African countries are advancing from the design to the implementation of their Long-Term Low-Emission Development Strategies (LT-LEDS), drawing on case studies from Burkina Faso, Ethiopia, Kenya, Nigeria, Rwanda South Africa, Rwanda, Uganda, Zambia, and Zimbabwe, as well as extensive desk research and comparative analysis.
Loss and damage financing and debt sustainability: advancing justice and equity in the CaribbeanThis report highlights the cyclical relationship between climate-induced loss and damage and growing fiscal debt levels in Caribbean SIDS. The report offers several policy recommendations to break the cycle of debt and climate vulnerability.
Annual report 2024While geopolitics shifted significantly in 2024, our focus remained unwavering: working with countries most at risk to advance climate-resilient development, holding major emitters to account, and accelerating climate action aligned with the 1.5°C limit.
Three key near-term actions could bend the warming curve; bringing projected warming below 2°CTripling renewables, doubling energy efficiency and cutting methane by 2030 and beyond would cut warming rate by a third in ten years, and halve it by 2040. This would cut projected warming this century about 0.9˚C from 2.6˚C to 1.7˚C.
Climate Action Tracker: 2025 warming projection updateLittle change in warming outlook for four years; new 2035 climate targets make no difference
