1 February, 2020

The impact of climate change on incomes and convergence in Africa


Florent Baarsch, Jessie Granadillos, Bill Hare, Maria Knaus, Mario Krapp, Michiel Schaeffer, Hermann Lotze-Campen

Grand phare, Jijel, Algeria

We estimate climate-induced losses in Africa by accounting for the dimensions of risks: exposure, vulnerability and hazards.

With losses up to 15 percent of GDP per capita growth, African economies are poorly adapted to their climatic conditions.

Western and Eastern African countries are projected to be the most affected countries on the continent.

Inequalities between countries are projected to widen as a consequence of climate change.

Solutions include raising mitigation ambition, scaling-up adaptation efforts and special treatments for the most vulnerable.