Decarbonisation targets and 1.5℃ pathways

Climate change calls for an international response, but also requires government and industry action to meet our global goals. We know that to prevent dangerous, irreversible climate change, the world needs to limit warming to 1.5°C.

To help governments, civil society and the private sector understand the pace of change required, we develop new methods to calculate the emission reductions needed to decarbonise in line with this planetary limit.

Our work focuses on:

  • tracking global and national climate action
  • assessing the adequacy of national targets and sectoral policies
  • setting benchmarks in areas such as fossil fuel phase-out and renewables scale up
  • assessing and modelling different mitigation options and their co-benefits
  • identifying national investment needs for the energy transition

Our experts

Projects

Next generation of advanced integrated assessment modelling to support climate policy making

The NAVIGATE project aims to enhance the capability of Integrated Assessment Models to account for distributional impacts of climate change and to describe transformative change in the economy. The research will help to gain insights on how long-term climate goals can be translated into short term climate policy measures, and how countries and sectors can work together to implement the Paris Agreement.
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Coal phase-out

Coal is the most carbon intensive fossil fuel - phasing it out is key to achieving the 1.5°C Paris Agreement goal. Most emissions from coal are in the electricity sector, so coal’s phase-out is relatively cheap and easy, as the technologies that can replace it already exist. Our research shows coal needs to be phased out globally by 2040 for the world to meet its climate commitments.

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Aerial view of a forest

Climate mitigation potential for European forests and forest-based sectors

ForestNavigator (Navigating European forests and forest bioeconomy sustainably to EU climate neutrality) is a new ambitious pan-European research project, aiming at assessing the climate mitigation potential of European forests and forest-based sectors through modelling of policy pathways consistent with the best standards of land-use and forestry.
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Breaking down siloed decision making on climate for the EU 2020 Strategy

This research project is a collaboration between nine European institutions. It takes a fresh look at how the EU 2020 Strategy can achieve its goal of smart, sustainable and inclusive economic growth, particularly undertaking novel complexity approaches to the integration of policies involving the nexus between water, food, energy, land use and climate change.
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