Bill Hare comments on the new US climate target and whether it is sufficient to limit warming to 1.5°C
Our areas of expertise include:
- Emission reduction targets
- Carbon and emission budgets
- Mitigation costs
- Role of air pollutants
- Co-benefits
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We explore the greenhouse-gas emission reductions necessary to achieve long-term global climate goals, such as holding warming below 1.5 and 2°C warming relative to pre-industrial levels. Analysing emissions scenarios from energy-economic models and other sources with coupled carbon-cycle/climate models leads to globally “allowed” ranges of emissions for different greenhouse gases, air pollutants and sectors, as well as associated time- and pathway-dependent mitigation costs and technology portfolios.
Latest
ABC radio interviews our CEO Bill Hare on Australia's climate targets and the economic implications of being left behind in a world where countries are increasing their action to reduce emissions.
Climate Action Trackers analysis shows new emissions reductions pledges announced at the US climate summit could reduced the gap in meeting the 1.5 goal by 12 to 14 percent - a major reduction, but still not enough.
“There’s a long way to go, but I’m more optimistic than I was a few months ago,” our CEO Bill Hare comments on the announcement of new US climate targets.
Bill Hare comments on the need for China to go hard and fast on emissions reductions to achieve the 1.5°C goal of the Paris Agreement
Australia already has the third-highest per capita emissions of any country and is “set to fall further and further behind”, comments Bill Hare, CEO of Climate Analytics.
The United States needs to cut emissions by almost two-thirds in the next nine years to reach net zero by mid-century, according to new analysis from the Climate Action Tracker. “It would be a major boost to international climate cooperation. Having the US taking such strong action would reverberate across the world, and result in other countries also stepping up to adopt the kind of targets they need to make global net zero a reality,” said Bill Hare, CEO of Climate Analytics.
Publications
This briefing outlines why long-term strategies are a fundamental component of national climate
policy architecture, and how SIDS can benefit from developing one, both directly in terms of
prioritising efforts for achieving the Paris Agreement goals, and indirectly through synergies with
other sustainable development and resilience goals. While we focus here on the energy sector – the
largest source of emissions for SIDS – an effective LTS should consider all sectors, as well as the
interlinkages between them.
This report presents domestic emissions pathways required to keep to the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit for five
countries: Viet Nam, Philippines, India, Indonesia and Japan and assesses if current 2030 climate targets are in
line with these pathways. Pathways are derived from the pathways assessed in the IPCC Special Report 1.5°C.
Key decarbonisation benchmarks for the power sector consistent with 1.5°C emissions pathways are also provided.
Because of the international community’s delay in cutting carbon emissions, some degree of reliance on carbon dioxide removal (CDR) options is now inevitable to achieve the Paris Agreement’s long-term temperature goal. This report seeks to answer questions regarding implementation of CDR options at scale. Can the sustainability challenges, risks and trade-offs inherent in large-scale CDR efforts be managed? What governance tools would need to be in place to deploy CDR options at the levels the IPCC says are needed? Can provisions under the current climate change regime support implementation at scale, or will further provisions and incentives be needed?
The global response to the COVID-19 pandemic has led to a sudden reduction of both GHG emissions and air pollutants. This paper uses national mobility data to estimate global emission reductions for ten species during the period February to June 2020 in order to evaluate future warming scenarios.
This study analyses the significance of sticking to the 1.5°C temperature goal when devising new NDCs under the Paris Agreement in order to avoid severe climate impacts.
Germany will have to boost its national targets and implement appropriate measures if it is to meet the Paris Agreement’s goals, and this will place considerable demands on the transport sector, according to this study commissioned by Agora Verkehrswende. The EU’s most populous country will also have to support the bloc in increasing its climate action.
Deutschland wird seine nationalen Ziele verstärken und geeignete Maßnahmen ergreifen müssen, um die Ziele des Pariser Klimaabkommens zu erreichen. Dies wird laut der Studie von Climate Analytics, im Auftrag von Agora Verkehrswende, erhebliche Anstrengungen im Verkehrssektor erfordern. Auch das bevölkerungsreichste Land der EU wird sich seiner Verantwortung stellen müssen.
Projects
The Paris Agreement commits all countries to take ambitious steps to guarantee a low carbon future. This requires individual national governments to submit more ambitious emission reduction targets. In support of this urgent need to translate global trajectories to be in line with the Paris Agreement, this project, founded by the IKEA Foundation, shows how a group of countries, across all regions and development spectrum can update their NDCs to be in line with the Paris climate goals.
The project aims to investigate how changes in land cover and land management can help to meet the mitigation and adaptation objectives of the Paris Agreement, as well as the Sustainable Development Goals. The project partners findings will be disseminated through a number of tools, events and products and by closely involving stakeholders and policy-makers, with the aim to support sustainable land use decision-making.
The "Climate Action Tracker" is an independent science-based assessment, which tracks the emission commitments and actions of countries.
The project looks into the consequences of the Paris Agreement for planned and existing coal capacity, comparing existing and planned coal capacity for a set of key countries/regions.
COP21 Results and Implications for Pathways and Policies for Low Emissions European Societies
The Paris Agreement represents an important new strategic context for EU climate policy. Analysing the implications of this new context requires an interdisciplinary approach, combining analysis of the evolution of the international climate regime as well as of NDCs and their socio-economic implications.
Science and policy to assist and support SIDSs and LDCs to negotiate a strong international climate regime, enabling low carbon development and supporting adaptation needs.