A fossil fuel free Australia
Authors
Thomas Houlie, Koki Baba, Samuel Guéret, James Bowen, Eoin Quill, Gabriela Cangussu, Bill Hare
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A fossil fuel phase-out would deliver Australia's climate commitments and send a signal to the world that the country is serious about Paris-aligned climate action.
Paris, 2015: Australia and the world's governments committed to limit global warming to 1.5°C and reach global net zero emissions in the second half of the century. As a signatory to the Paris Agreement, the Australian government is morally and legally bound to contribute its fair share to the goal of transforming and decarbonising its energy systems.
Australia's current policies barely meet its 2030 Paris Agreement target, nor do they align with its 2035 target. If the government is to meet its own stated goal of reaching net zero greenhouse emissions by mid-century, and strictly limit the magnitude and duration of 1.5°C overshoot, its current policies will leave it with a huge burden of emissions to deal with.
This report shows that Australia can meet its climate goals and reach net zero emissions by phasing out fossil fuels. Climate Analytics modelled it in a new Fossil Fuel Phase-out (FFPO) scenario, a Paris-aligned pathway for Australia informed by the latest global evidence. We set out its results and compare them with the government's current policies - the Current Policy Projections (CPP) scenario.
A fossil fuel phase-out for Australia to meet its climate commitments and to play its role in global efforts to limit warming to 1.5°C is urgent. We show this is possible in all sectors, we set out the policies the government needs to adopt, and we highlight what it is not doing - or needs to be doing more of. The government needs to start this phase-out now.











