Delivering cutting-edge science, analysis and support to accelerate climate action and keep warming below 1.5°C
Welcome to Climate Analytics
Our work
Our work creates impact where it matters, from pioneering scientific methods to ground-breaking policy analysis and research.
Publications
How can event attribution science underpin financial decisions on Loss and Damage?
With climate extremes hitting nations across the globe, disproportionately burdening vulnerable developing countries, funding for loss and damage is an acute need. Attribution science can provide useful information for decision makers.
Publications
Australia's global fossil fuel carbon footprint
This report unpacks the global carbon footprint from Australia's exported fossil fuels, especially coal and gas; exports that are set to continue at the same level through to 2035, threatening the 1.5˚C warming limit.
Australia has a global carbon footprint that far exceeds its economic size and population - and is responsible for around 4.5% of global fossil carbon dioxide emissions, with 80% of those emissions coming from its fossil fuel exports.
Publications
Achieving net zero greenhouse gas emissions critical to limit climate tipping risks
Current climate policies are putting Earth on a path to a high risk of triggering climatic tipping points – even if temperatures return to below 1.5°C of global warming after a period of overshoot. A new study finds that the risk of crossing these thresholds increases with every additional 0.1 °C of overshoot above 1.5 °C and strongly accelerates above 2.0 °C. These risks can be minimised if stringent emissions reductions are taken in the next decade, and net zero greenhouse gas emissions are met and maintained.
Publications
Evaluating the near and long-term role of carbon dioxide removal in meeting global climate objectives
For 1.5°C pathways with limited overshoot, most of the mitigation between now and 2030 should come from emissions reductions (70%), with reductions from cutting non-CO2 emissions (20%) and land-based carbon dioxide removals such as afforestation and preventing deforestation (10%) making up the remainder.
Publications
Using existing databases to report on loss and damage in Biennial Transparency Reports under the UNFCCC
Calculating financing needs to respond to loss and damage requires response activities to be costed. However, comprehensive assessments of current and future loss and damage costs are largely unavailable. This briefing proposes using existing databases as proxies in the interim.
Publications
Article 6.4 progress update: work of the Supervisory Body on the Paris Agreement Crediting Mechanism
The Article 6.4 mechanism, now known as the Paris Agreement Crediting Mechanism, allows countries to trade reductions in carbon emissions in a manner that goes beyond zero-sum offsetting, to achieve their commitments under the Paris Agreement. This briefing aims to update Small Island Developing States and Least Developed Countries on the standards and procedures that have been adopted by the supervising body (Article 6.4) to inform the design of projects.
Why the Caribbean is bracing for what could be the worst hurricane season on record
Unprecedented sea surface temperatures in June have already fuelled a hurricane that has flattened communities in the Caribbean - the earliest of its kind. With forecasts warning of more to come, our experts get into the numbers of why this years' season could be the worst on record.
Dug up in Australia, burned around the world – exporting fossil fuels undermines climate targets
Our research found Australia’s coal and gas exports were responsible for 1.15 billion tonnes of CO₂ emissions in 2023. An additional 46 million tonnes of CO₂ were emitted domestically in the process of extracting, processing and distributing those fossil fuels purely for export. That takes the total to 1.2 billion tonnes of CO₂ attributable to fossil fuel exports.
Delay tactics at IPCC-61 could put science inputs to the UNFCCC at risk
The latest Plenary of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has just concluded in Sofia, Bulgaria. Despite days of deliberation, delegates were not able to agree on delivering the next round of reports in time for the second global stocktake, despite a request to do so from governments in the first global stocktake outcome agreed in Dubai last year.
The climate opportunity for the new UK government
As the dust settles on the UK elections, our climate and energy analyst Dr Neil Grant looks at the climate challenges ahead for Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer and his Energy Secretary Ed Miliband.
Tracking South Africa’s climate change progress
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Projects
Climate Action Tracker
The Climate Action Tracker is an independent science-based assessment, which tracks the emission commitments and actions of countries.
Climate ambition support
Supporting climate-vulnerable countries in strengthening their roles and voices in international climate negotiations.
Understanding the climate impacts associated with temporarily overshooting 1.5°C
This project is working to develop the science around what the climate impacts of temporarily overshooting 1.5°C would mean for our climate.
