14 July, 2020

Antigua and Barbuda's national greenhouse gas reduction report

Authors

Robert Brecha, Shweta Movalia, Frances Fuller, and Jan Sindt

To inform Antigua and Barbuda’s updated Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC), Antigua and Barbuda’s Department of Environment, within the Ministry of Health, Wellness and the Environment, requested technical support through the NDC Partnership’s Climate Action Enhancement Package (CAEP).

This report – Antigua and Barbuda’s National Greenhouse Gas Reduction Report – supported by Climate Analytics, assesses the greenhouse gas emissions in the energy and transport sector, and undertakes a technical analysis of renewable energy needs under different pathways to reach the mitigation targets for possible inclusion in the updated NDC.

Antigua and Barbuda’s Department of Environment requested technical assistance to inform their deliberations around the two main areas of
focus for mitigation action for the revised NDC to be submitted in 2020:

  • to phase-out the use of fossil fuels in the power sector by 2030; and
  • to phase-out the use of internal combustion
    vehicles by 2040.

Climate Analytics has undertaken a technical analysis of renewable energy needs under different pathways to reach these mitigation targets for possible inclusion in the NDC for 2020. This initial analysis, including through the use of the Low Emissions Analysis Platform (LEAP) modelling framework, is based on existing data provided through DOE and laid out in this report in four overlapping and interlinked stages:

  • 2020-2025 – replacement of two power plants; ramp up of renewables;
  • 2020-2030 – increase in electrification of transport; phase-out of ICE Vehicle sales;
  • 2025-2030 – completion of power sector fossil fuel phase-out and implementation of grid + transport integration; and
  • Beyond 2030 – fossil phase-out in power sector, continued increase in storage capacity, possible need for dispatchable renewable electricity generation, integration of transport in power sector as ICEVs are phased out.

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