Climate Analytics at COP30

10 Nov 2025 - 21 Nov 2025
09:00 - 17:00 BRT (UTC -3)
Belém, Brazil

COP30, the UN climate change conference, takes place in Belém, Brazil in November 2025. Come find us at events covering a range of our work, from NDC ambition, to the pathways needed to limit global warming to 1.5°C, to how international collaboration could reduce both emissions and costs.

All event times are in local time in Belém (UTC-3)

Tuesday 11 November

Location: Side Event Room 9
Date: 11 November
Time: 15:00–16:30

There must be a strong political response to global NDC shortfall amid escalating climate impacts. EU, South Asian, Latin American civil society and negotiators will hold a cross-regional conversation on NDC ambition gap and cross-sectoral just &funded transition options away from fossil-dependency

Speakers will include EU, LAC, and South Asian negotiators; CAN nodes from high-ambition countries and key regions; and experts from civil society. They will look at highest-possible ambition NDCs, and equitable global pathways to the safety of 1.5 degrees.

Event partners include: Climate Action Network - Europe (CAN - Europe)
Climate Action Network - Latin America (CAN-LA)
Germanwatch
Climate Action Network South Asia (CANSA)

Location: ICCI Cryosphere Pavilion
Date: 11 November
Time: TBC

With 2024 marking the first year above 1.5°C, focus grows on overshoot and carbon dioxide removal (CDR). Research reveals peatland warming increases CDR needs, while a new method to include temporary CDR into climate policy offers a way to offset short-lived climate forces. New research shows the increasing challenges for societies facing an overshoot world, and call for critical policy evaluation to meet climate targets.

Moderated by Uta Klönne.

Event partners include: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laboratory for Climate and
Environmental Sciences (LSCE)

Wednesday 12 November

Location: German Climate Pavilion
Date: 12 November
Time: 16:30-17:30

As countries submit their third Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC 3.0) in 2025, this session explores the evolving landscape of climate commitments under the Paris Agreement. New NDCs have to be more ambitious, but must also integrate broader development concerns such as social justice, human rights and capacity building.

The event will present the latest scientific assessments of NDCs, highlighting gaps between current pledges and the pathways needed to limit global warming to 1.5°C. It will also examine the social dimensions of climate policy, drawing on insights from social science research and practical experiences. Discussions will focus on how the gap toward 1.5°C can be narrowed while at the same time considering development objectives and social inequalities.

An interactive format using Mentimeter will invite participants to share perspectives and reflect on what has worked, and what hasn’t, in aligning climate ambition with inclusive development. Speakers from research institutions, government bodies, civil society, and negotiators from both the Global North and South will contribute to a rich dialogue aimed at informing more holistic and effective NDCs.

Event partners include: NewClimate Institute, German Institute of Development and Sustainability (IDOS)

Friday 14 November

Location: Singapore Pavilion
Date: 14 November
Time: 11:30-13:00

Panel and presentation on the work of the Global Mitigation Potential Atlas. 

Speakers include Michiel Schaeffer

Event partners include: MOYA Analytics 
Panelists: ASEAN Centre for Energy, Singapore government, UNFCCC secretariat, NDC Partnership, Brazil government (TBC)

Monday 17 November

Location: Super Pollutant Solutions Pavilion
Date: 17 November
Time: 11:00-12:00

This solutions-oriented panel examines the most effective mitigation approaches and policy levers to methane reduction. Designed for policymakers and national delegates, energy sector stakeholders, and civil society organizations, this event highlights areas where progress is being made, and identifies barriers and opportunities for accelerating methane reductions across the energy sector.

Thursday 20 November

Location: Side Event Room 5
Date: 20 November
Time: 16:45:18:15

Latest scenarios by different modelling teams show that overshooting causes irreversible impacts, limits to adaptation, and loss and damage. Just transition policies can include a multilateral sovereign guarantee mechanism allowing for development and financial benefits in developing countries.

Speakers include Bill Hare

Event partners include: Federal University of Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ), International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)