Climate Analytics at COP30

Location: Asia Climate Solutions Pavilion
Date: 10 November
Time: 11:15-12:15

This session explores how transparent, inclusive, and well-coordinated governance can turn offshore wind ambitions into real projects globally, connecting early movers and fast-rising markets.

Speaker: Dimitris Tsekeris

Location: Planetary Science Pavilion
Date: 10 November
Time: 13:15-14:15

This session examines the Earth’s energy imbalance, highlighting accelerating global heating and its underlying causes. It explores how factors such as reduced shipping pollution, increased wildfires, and cloud dynamics influence this trend, offering scientific insights into the drivers of planetary warming and implications for climate action.

Speakers
Karina von Schuckmann, Mercator Ocean International
Uta Klönne, Climate Analytics
Rueanna Haynes, Climate Analytics

Moderator
Piers Forster, Leeds University

Location: Asia Climate Solutions Pavilion
Date: 10 November
Time: 15:45–16:45

This session will explore the hidden environmental, social, and financial costs of LNG carriers, focusing on how the LNG shipping industry drives emissions, biodiversity loss, and human rights concerns. Speakers will highlight the links between Japan’s and South Korea’s fossil fuel financing, the global oversupply of LNG carriers, and the economic and ecological risks this poses. The discussion will also feature testimonies from communities affected by LNG shipping and fossil fuel infrastructure projects, emphasizing the urgent need to transition away from fossil-based maritime transport.

Presentation + Panel Discussion

• Thomas Houlie, Climate Analytics
• Mayuko Sato, Friends of the Earth Japan
• Nancy Carmina García Fregoso, Equal Routes

• Misha Mayeur, FISH

  Event partners include:

• Solutions for Our Climate (SFOC)
• Climate Analytics
• Friends of the Earth Japan (FoE Japan)
• Equal Routes

Location: Australian Pavilion
Date: 10 November
Time: 18:00-19:30

This event centres on Pacific voices and scientific insight to spotlight lethal humidity as a growing threat to human survival. It explores cascading impacts of extreme humid heat on health, food and migration, and calls for urgent global action to achieve Real Zero emissions and protect communities in a rapidly warming world.

Speakers:

Dr Andrew Forrest AO - Executive Chairman and Founder, Minderoo Foundation and Tattarang
Dr Shanta Barley - Chair, Lethal Humidity Global Council
The Hon. Josh Wilson - Assistant Minister for Climate Change & Energy, and Assistant Minister for Emergency Management, Australian Government
The Hon. Dr Maina Talia - Minister for Home Affairs, Climate Change & Environment, Government of Tuvalu
Dr Tzeporah Berman - Chair, Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative
Dr Bill Hare - Founder and CEO, Climate Analytics

Hosted by the Minderoo Foundation

Location: Pakistan pavilion 
Date: 11 November
Time: 11:30-12:30

Pakistan is already living in the reality of a world above 1.5°C. In June 2025, parts of the country recorded temperatures close to 50°C, conditions that threaten human survival. Heatwaves, often referred to as “silent killers,” remain underreported in official statistics despite mounting evidence of their deadly toll. For instance, during Karachi’s June 2024 heatwave, ambulance services reported a surge in deaths, yet official figures recorded only a fraction as heat-related. This undercounting masks the real crisis and hinders effective response. Energy poverty compounds the challenge. Pakistan’s fragile electricity system, worsened by power outages during peak heat, leaves millions without access to basic cooling. Many households are turning to solar energy as a survival strategy, yet policy decisions such as import taxes on solar panels risk making this lifeline unaffordable. At the same time, stranded fossil fuel investments drain public finances while failing to deliver reliable power. The impacts are not gender-neutral. Women, particularly those in energy-poor households, bear disproportionate burdens during extreme heat, caring for children and the elderly, managing household energy needs, and coping with health risks without adequate support. Addressing heatwaves and energy poverty through a gender-responsive lens is not just about adaptation, it is about justice, equity, and survival.

Speaker: Fahad Saeed
Introduction: Zarrar Khan

Location: SDG Pavillion 
Date: 11 November
Time: 11:20–12:20

Discussions will focus on lessons learned from the implementation of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) within the energy and transport sectors, highlighting the persistent gaps in finance and technology access that hinder the transition to low-carbon economies. The session will also explore how innovative partnerships can help bridge these gaps and mobilize both public and private financing to accelerate climate action in SIDS, in alignment with the Antigua and Barbuda Agenda for SIDS (ABAS) and the Paris Agreement.

Speakers include Sasha Jattansingh from Climate Analytics with a diverse panel of experts, including leaders from SIDS, regional organizations, and the International Renewable Energy Initiative (IRENA).

Jointly organized by UN-OHRLLS and the Alliance of Small Island States (AOSIS).

Location: ICCI Cryosphere Pavilion
Date: 11 November
Time: 14:00-15:15

With 2024 marking the first year above 1.5°C, focus grows on overshoot and carbon dioxide removal (CDR). Research reveals peatland warming increases CDR needs, while a new method to include temporary CDR into climate policy offers a way to offset short-lived climate forces. New research shows the increasing challenges for societies facing an overshoot world, and call for critical policy evaluation to meet climate targets.

Moderated by Uta Klönne.

Event partners include: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laboratory for Climate and
Environmental Sciences (LSCE)

Location: Side Event Room 1
Date: 11 November
Time: 15:00–16:30

There must be a strong political response to global NDC shortfall amid escalating climate impacts. EU, South Asian, Latin American civil society and negotiators will hold a cross-regional conversation on NDC ambition gap and cross-sectoral just &funded transition options away from fossil-dependency

Speakers will include EU, LAC, and South Asian negotiators; CAN nodes from high-ambition countries and key regions; and experts from civil society. They will look at highest-possible ambition NDCs, and equitable global pathways to the safety of 1.5 degrees.

Event partners include: Climate Action Network - Europe (CAN - Europe)
Climate Action Network - Latin America (CAN-LA)
Germanwatch
Climate Action Network South Asia (CANSA)

Location: Side Event room 7
Date: 11 November
Time: 18:30-20:00

This event will present findings related to renewable energy, presenting new studies from Climate Analytics on how to transform “hard-to-abate” sectors:

• Steel production, mapping technology choices (hydrogen, direct reduction, etc) and analysing policy levers, and market dynamics, industrial competitiveness, jobs, and transitional risks—like overreliance on carbon capture.
• Fertilizer production, analysing decarbonization pathways by tracing the whole value chain from energy inputs to policy and finance—comparing grey, blue, and green ammonia.

• Focus on energy security, fiscal resilience, emissions integrity, food system impacts.

  Speaker: Danial Riaz
  
  Event partners include:

  International Network for Sustainable Energy (INFORSE)
  Danish 92 Group - Forum for Sustainable Development
  Nordic Folkecenter for Renewable Energy (NFVE)
  Sustainable Environmental Development Watch (SusWatch)
  SustainableEnergy (SE)
  

Location: German Climate Pavilion
Date: 12 November
Time: 16:30-17:30

As countries submit their third Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC 3.0) in 2025, this session explores the evolving landscape of climate commitments under the Paris Agreement. New NDCs have to be more ambitious, but must also integrate broader development concerns such as social justice, human rights and capacity building.

The event will present the latest scientific assessments of NDCs, highlighting gaps between current pledges and the pathways needed to limit global warming to 1.5°C. It will also examine the social dimensions of climate policy, drawing on insights from social science research and practical experiences. Discussions will focus on how the gap toward 1.5°C can be narrowed while at the same time considering development objectives and social inequalities.

An interactive format using Mentimeter will invite participants to share perspectives and reflect on what has worked, and what hasn’t, in aligning climate ambition with inclusive development. Speakers from research institutions, government bodies, civil society, and negotiators from both the Global North and South will contribute to a rich dialogue aimed at informing more holistic and effective NDCs.

Event partners include: NewClimate Institute, German Institute of Development and Sustainability (IDOS)

Location: Asia Climate Solutions Pavilion
Date: 12 November
Time: 17:30-18:30

In this session, leading CSOs and think tanks from across the Asia-Pacific region will gather to propose national climate policies for achieving the 2035 NDCs and share experiences collaborating with parliaments and governments.

Speakers will propose climate policies designed to achieve the 2035 NDCs, share methods for engaging with decision-makers to influence actual climate policies, and discuss strategies for building multi-stakeholder coalitions.

This event aims to serve as a peer learning and networking platform for organizations engaged in climate policy, providing practical insights that can inform future strategies for civil society-National Assembly-government collaboration.

Moderated by Wonah Kim, SFOC
Speaker: Thomas Houlie 

Event partners include: Solutions for our Climate, Green Environment Youth Korea(GEYK)

Location: Asia Climate Solutions Pavilion
Date: 14 November
Time: 10:15-11:15

Fossil fuel financing is driving Global South countries deeper into debt, locking them into projects that harm communities, strain public finances, and derail climate goals. This session will unpack how debt fueled fossil fuel investments undermine just transitions. Civil society groups from across Asia will present case studies, highlight community impacts, and discuss pathways toward debt cancellation, ending fossil fuel finance, and scaling up renewable energy solutions.

Speaker: Thomas Houlie

Event partners include: 
Solutions for Our Climate (SFOC), Big Shift Global

Location: Singapore Pavilion
Date: 14 November
Time: 11:30-13:00

Panel and presentation on the work of the Global Mitigation Potential Atlas. 

Speakers include Michiel Schaeffer. 

Event partners include: MOYA Analytics 
Panelists: ASEAN Centre for Energy, Singapore government, UNFCCC secretariat, NDC Partnership, Brazil government (TBC)

Location: Global Renewables Hub 
Date: 15 November
Time: 16:30-17:30

Delivering Real Zero – a fossil-free energy and industrial system powered by renewables and green hydrogen – requires financing tools that make clean industry investable everywhere.

Green hydrogen made with renewables offers a viable pathway to achieve Real Zero and, alongside direct electrification, can help deliver a fully fossil-free energy system. While clean industry transformation holds large economic opportunities, with an investment potential of 1.6 trillion USD,  finance remains the decisive barrier to projects reaching Final Investment Decision (FID). The cost of capital in emerging markets is up to five times higher than in OECD economies. Without concessional and blended solutions, first-mover hydrogen, fertiliser, and fuel projects will stall.

Event partners include: Green Hydrogen Organisation (GH2),  Industrial Transition Accelerator (ITA)
Panelists: Danial Riaz

Location: NDC Partnership Pavilion 
Date: 17 November
Time: 9:30-10:30

This presentation and panel explores how the energy transition reshapes public finances across small island economies, with a focus on Small Island Developing States in the Caribbean. A concise opening talk maps fiscal implications of fossil fuel phase-out in the energy and transport sector under different scenarios and sketches how SIDS can tackle shrinking fossil fuel taxes and import duties while protecting vulnerable households through the transition to renewable energy and clean transportation.
A moderated panel brings together perspectives from government finance, utilities, civil society, and development partners. The discussion will show how CARICOM member states are planning to finance their transformative actions in the energy and transport sectors, and explore options to incentivize accelerated RE and EV uptake under constrained government budgets and fiscal spaces through a just transition lense.
Throughout, speakers underscore the long-term fiscal and development gains of aligning with a 1.5°C trajectory: reduced fuel dependence, stronger resilience to climate shocks, and clearer pathways to sustainable, affordable energy access.

Location: Super Pollutant Solutions Pavilion
Date: 17 November
Time: 11:00-12:00

This solutions-oriented panel examines the most effective mitigation approaches and policy levers to methane reduction. Designed for policymakers and national delegates, energy sector stakeholders, and civil society organizations, this event highlights areas where progress is being made, and identifies barriers and opportunities for accelerating methane reductions across the energy sector.

Location: CARICOM Pavilion
Date: 18 November
Time: 14:00-15:30

This event aims to share critical insights to enhance regional resilience, from Climate Analytics Caribbean’s upcoming Proposal for a Regional Goal on Adaptation, as well as our upcoming report, “Pathways to GST Implementation in the Caribbean”, which are both nearing completion.

For small island developing states, it is more vital than ever that we accelerate resilience-building to climate change impacts and embrace the transition to a more sustainable future. By linking global goals to regional realities, we can advance more practical, effective solutions to safeguard lives and livelihoods.

This event will empower the audience with knowledge-sharing from Caribbean Ministers and leading experts, and will provide an important platform for all climate stakeholders to have their voices heard on these critical topics.

Moderated by Rueanna Haynes, Director, Climate Analytics Caribbean

Location: Side Event Room 5
Date: 20 November
Time: 16:45-18:15

Latest scenarios by different modelling teams show that overshooting causes irreversible impacts, limits to adaptation, and loss and damage. Just transition policies can include a multilateral sovereign guarantee mechanism allowing for development and financial benefits in developing countries.

Speakers include Bill Hare. 

Event partners include: Federal University of Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ), International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)