Publications

This analysis demonstrates that the Copenhagen Accord and the pledges made under it represent a set of dissonant ambitions. Due to the limited level of ambition by 2020, the ability to limit emissions afterwards to pathways consistent with either the 2 or 1.5 °C goal is likely to become less feasible.

This briefing paper examines the overall mitigation pledges made under the Copenhagen Accord against the perspective of limiting warming to either the 2°C or 1.5°C goals, and looks at which levels of mitigation levels are needed, before concluding with an initial discussion of the implications for Africa

Current national emissions targets can't limit global warming to 2°C, calculate Joeri Rogelj, Malte Meinshausen and colleagues — they might even lock the world into exceeding 3°C warming.

This report analyses the potential for changing track after 2020, from an insufficient global reductionby 2020, to two emission pathways that imply a reasonable chance to stay below 2°C and 1.5°C respectively.