Guide to a good 2035 climate target

In this briefing, the Climate Action Tracker highlights the four key elements needed from the next round of NDCs for 2035: they need to be ambitious, fair, credible, transparent, and include aspects of climate finance and a just and fair transition.

COP28 initiatives will only reduce emissions if followed through

Few of the sectoral initiatives announced during COP28 will meaningfully contribute to closing the emissions gap. Many of them lack either the ambition, clarity, coverage or accountability needed to really make a difference.

No change to warming as fossil fuel endgame brings focus onto false solutions

The CAT's annual warming estimate has risen by 0.1˚C to 2.5˚C. The estimate is largely influenced by weak existing targets rather than shifts triggered by updated Nationally Determined Contributions.

Massive gas expansion risks overtaking positive climate policies

New CAT analysis finds the LNG capacity now under construction, coupled with expansion plans, could increase emissions by over 1.9 GtCO2e per year in 2030 above emission levels consistent with the IEA’s Net Zero by 2050 scenario.

Glasgow’s 2030 credibility gap: net zero’s lip service to climate action

In Glasgow, it is clear there is a massive credibility, action and commitment gap that casts a long and dark shadow of doubt over the net zero goals put forward by more than 140 countries, covering 90% of global emissions.

CAT Global Update: Climate Summit Momentum

Climate action announcements at US President Biden’s Leaders Summit on Climate, together with those announced since September last year, have improved the Climate Action Tracker’s warming estimate by 0.2°C. End of century warming from these Paris Agreement pledges and targets is now estimated to be 2.4°C.

Global update: Paris Agreement Turning Point

In this global update, the Climate Action Tracker (CAT) has calculated that global warming by 2100 could be as low as 2.1°C as a result of all the net zero pledges announced as of November 2020.

Global Update: Climate target updates slow as science demands action

The new IPCC report has reinforced the absolute urgency of closing the 2030 emissions gap, but even countries with strong targets are mostly not on track to meet them, while more have failed to bring forward stronger commitments for 2030.

INDCs lower projected warming to 2.7°C: significant progress but still above 2°C

The Climate Action Tracker finds that, if climate plans were fully implemented, they would bring the projected warming to 2.7°C – an improvement of 0.4˚C since the last assessment of pledges at the Lima talks in December 2014.

Negotiations heading towards high warming, high cost pathway

Delaying any decisions on future climate action until 2015 or 2020 will bring a rapidly increasing risk in costs and threatens the likelihood of the world being able to keep global warming to below 2°C, the Climate Action Tracker warned today in its Durban update.

Coal's rapid phase-out essential, not enough to stay below 2°C warming

A rapid phase-out of coal as an electricity source by 2050 would reduce warming by half a degree, according to the Climate Action Tracker, in an update released today ahead of the Ban Ki-moon climate summit. Under current Government policies, the world is on track to warm by 3.7°C by 2100.

China and US increase climate ambition: improvements needed in 2015

The Climate Action Tracker's initial assessment of the recent announcements by the United States and China’s new pledges and proposals on emissions reductions for 2025 and 2030, in the context of the present international negotiations for a new climate agreement to be adopted at the end of 2015.

Below 2°C or 1.5°C depends on rapid action from both Annex I and non-Annex I countries

In this update the Climate Action Tracker has conducted a new analysis of the IPCC AR5 emissions database to evaluate the required level of global and regional action for 2020, 2025 and 2030 to limit warming to below 2°C or 1.5°C with a likely (66%) and high (85%) probability.

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