Publications
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![Committed sea level rise under the Paris Agreement and the legacy of delayed mitigation action](https://ca1-clm.edcdn.com/masthead/_c400x565/mathis-jrdl-9y5uMwQKJzc-unsplash.jpg?v=1706777495)
Peer-reviewed Papers
Sea-level rise is a major consequence of climate change that will continue long after emissions of greenhouse gases have stopped. The 2015 Paris Agreement aims at reducing climate-related risks by reducing greenhouse gas emissions to net zero and limiting global-mean temperature increase. This study quantifies the effect of these constraints on global sea-level rise until 2300, including Antarctic ice-sheet instabilities.
![Ten key short-term sectoral benchmarks to limit warming to 1.5°C](https://ca1-clm.edcdn.com/publications/_c400x565/ten_key_short_term_sectoral_benchmarks_to_limit_warming_to_1_5_c.pdf-8910.jpg?v=1706770444)
Peer-reviewed Papers
This article identifies and quantifies the 10 most important benchmarks for climate action to be taken by 2020–2025 to keep the window open for a 1.5°C-consistent GHG emission pathway.
![Why using 20-year Global Warming Potentials (GWPs) for emission targets are a very bad idea for climate policy](https://ca1-clm.edcdn.com/publications/_c400x565/20-year_gwps_bad_idea_for_climate_policy_16112017.pdf-6941.jpg?v=1706770444)
Briefings
There have been proposals for the UNFCCC to adopt a dual-term greenhouse gas accounting standard: 20-year GWPs alongside the presently accepted 100-year GWPs. It is argued that the advantage of such a change would be to more rapidly reduce short term warming and buy time for CO2 reductions. This briefing shows why these changes would be counterproductive and the benefits overstated.
![Improvement in warming outlook as India and China move ahead, but Paris Agreement gap still looms large](https://ca1-clm.edcdn.com/publications/_c400x565/cat_2017-11-15_improvement-in-warming-outlook.pdf-7357.jpg?v=1706861293)
Reports
While there is a significant improvement on climate action globally, despite US rollbacks, President Trump’s announced intention to withdraw from the Paris Agreement, has led to a significant deterioration in the effect of Paris Agreement commitments (NDCs)—by about 0.3°C.
![“Because the ocean” – achieving the Paris Agreement 1.5°C temperature limit](https://ca1-clm.edcdn.com/publications/_c400x565/climate_risks_oceans_09112017_1.pdf-7487.jpg?v=1706861293)
Briefings
This briefing provides an overview of the latest science on key risks for ocean systems including from sea-level rise, ocean acidification and impacts on coral reefs and other marine and coastal ecosystems.