Annual Report 2016
The swift entry into force of the Agreement in November 2016 demonstrated that governments have realised the utmost urgency of decarbonising the global economy by 2050 and holding the temperature increase to 1.5°C. It also was a great illustration of the political momentum leading into the implementation of this historic global treaty.
This has led us to sharpen our focus and advance progress in four key areas.
Global climate action
Our climate policy team‘s key priorities included analysing what governments need to do to meet the Paris Agreement long-term temperature goal and identifying concrete steps towards rapid decarbonisation that are needed now.
Our reports looked into timelines for phasing out coal out of the electricity sector globally and in the EU. The Climate Action Tracker, recognised as one of the most credible sources of information on national and global action on climate change, produced a number of briefings, which outlined what key sectors need to do in the short term to get the world onto a 1.5°C pathway.
Advancing scientific knowledge around the 1.5°C temperature limit
Our scientists published in major journals work on presently available low emission pathways that could achieve 1.5˚C and developing new models which could inform the IPCC special report on the 1.5°C limit.
Climate action in vulnerable countries
We have expanded our implementation team and projects to support vulnerable countries with implementing ambitious climate plans (Nationally Determined Contributions), ensuring strong synergies with sustainable development domestically.
Rules for implementing the Paris Agreement
We have continued to work with Small Island Developing States (SIDS) and Least Developed Countries (LDCs) at the UNFCCC negotiations for designing the rules for implementing the agreement.
To support these efforts, we have launched a major project, IMPACT, which aims to strengthen the connections between the scientific assessments of climate impacts, vulnerability and adaptation to help enable access to finance and help SIDS and LDCs implement concrete projects.
We have also undertaken two significant projects with a focus on Africa. One supports science-based national adaptation planning in Sub-Saharan Africa; another supports five countries in developing and implementing plans and investments for managing climate and disaster risks.
These are just some of the highlights of 2016. Download the report for full details of our publications, projects, experts, funders and partners and financial information.
Defining a Regional Goal on Adaptation for the Caribbean
While the Global Goal on Adaptation provides a collective goal for adapting to climate change, adaptation is often a context specific and localised process. This paper proposes a Regional Goal on Adaptation for the Caribbean based on priorities relevant for Caribbean small island developing states.
Unabated: the Carbon Capture and Storage 86 billion tonne carbon bomb aimed at derailing a fossil phase out
The climate talks at COP28 have centred around the need for a fossil fuel phase out. Our analysis quantifies the risk posed by restricting a phase out commitment to only ‘unabated’ fossil fuels.
Adaptation constraints in scenarios of socio-economic development
Here, we combine data on documented adaptation from the Global Adaptation Mapping Initiative with national macro indicators and assess future changes in adaptation constraints alongside the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, spanning a wide range of future socio-economic development scenarios.
When will global greenhouse gas emissions peak?
The IPCC says peaking before 2025 is a critical step to keep the 1.5°C limit within reach. With emissions set to rise in 2023, this leaves limited time to act. To assess if we can meet this milestone, we look at when global emissions might peak, as well as what we can do to get there in time.
Wind and solar benchmarks for a 1.5°C world
This report presents a detailed methodology for determining the amount of wind and solar capacity that is required for a country to align with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C temperature goal. While the focus of the report is the method, it includes illustrative benchmarks for Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Germany, South Africa.
Carbon majors’ trillion dollar damages
In this report we explore who could pay for loss and damage through the lens of responsibility for historic emissions, and the financial gains generated from selling oil and gas.
A 1.5°C future is possible: getting fossil fuels out of the Philippine power sector
The Philippines is also one of the fastest-growing developing countries: poverty is in decline, access to energy is rising and, with that, demand for energy services. However, fossil fuels still dominate the energy system, accounting for 78% of power generation in 2022. This report sets out what the Philippines government needs to do to get the country’s power sector onto a 1.5˚C compatible emissions pathway, replacing fossil fuels with renewable energy.
Production Gap Report 2023
Governments, in aggregate, still plan to produce more than double the amount of fossil fuels in 2030 than would be consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C. The persistence of the global production gap puts a well-managed and equitable energy transition at risk.
Emissions impossible: Unpacking CSIRO GISERA Beetaloo Middle Arm fossil gas emissions estimates
This report provides an independent evaluation of the CSIRO and GISERA assessments of the potential greenhouse gas emissions that would result from the exploitation of the Beetaloo fossil shale gas reserves.