Climate Analytics at COP31

Location: Moana Blue Pacific Pavilion
Date: 9 November
Time: 16:00-16:50

As climate change continues to intensify, countries are increasingly relying on National Adaptation Plans to guide coordinated and long-term adaptation efforts. However, the success of these plans depends not only on the implementation of adaptation actions but also on the existence of effective monitoring and evaluation frameworks that can track progress, assess results, and support learning. Together, NAPs and M&E frameworks form essential components of climate-resilient development, enabling countries to strengthen resilience, reduce vulnerability, and adapt effectively to a changing climate

The event on Adaptation NAPs and MERL brings attention to how the Global Goal on Adaptation indicators are being received, contextualised and practically implemented by Pacific Island countries. The lived experiences and concerns of countries will highlight how increased NAPs and GGA are being used to track adaptation in the Pacific region

Speakers
Paddy Pringle, Climate Analytics
Lisa Green, SPC 
Matereti Mateiwai, Fiji
Kalvary Porte, Naoero 
Bertine Lakjohn, RMI

Event partners include: 
Secretariat of the Pacific Regional Enviroment Programme (SPREP)

Location: Climate Mobility Pavilion
Date: 10 November
Time: 10:00-11:00

"Powering Places to Stay” brings together a Caribbean clean-energy company, a regional climate-finance accelerator and a global island-energy alliance to explore how locally owned renewable energy can give frontline communities real choices about whether to stay, move or return.

Speakers include Acting Deputy Director of Climate Analytics Caribbean, Carlon Mendoza.

Location: Cryosphere Pavilion
Date: 10 November
Time: 11:30-12:30

New research shows converging evidence on the socioeconomic cost of climate overshoot across regions and sectors. Average-based risk metrics systematically understate compound and extreme impacts, masking how fast the window for action is narrowing. This session explores recent advances in socioeconomic risk assessment, including storyline and stress-test scenarios, risk assessment and adaptation tailored to Alpine and coastal regions, and new insights on inequalities and vulnerabilities posed by climate overshoot.

Moderator: Inga Menke, IIASA 

Speakers: 
Dr. Yann Quilcaille, ETH Zurich
Dr. Francesco Bosello, CMCC
Dr. Rosanne Martyr, Climate Analytics

Event partners include: 
IIASA, SPARCCLE, Assessing Climate Change risk in Europe (ACCREU), CrossEU, CMCCC, Meteo Romania

Location: CARICOM Pavilion 
Date: 10 November
Time: 11:30-12:30

The Climate Action Unit within the Ministry of Environment, Climate Action & Constituency Empowerment in St. Kitts & Nevis recently completed its first Loss and Damage Strategy through the support of the NDC Partnership Action Fund, and will be launching the Strategy at COP31.

Speakers:

Dr James Fletcher (CARICOM)
Dr Francis (SKN Ministry), 
NDC Partnership, 
Arunima Sircar (Climate Analytics)

Event partners include: 
Climate Action Unit, St Kitts and Nevis

Location: SDG Pavilion
Date: 10 November
Time: 11:45-12:45

This event will explore how effective partnerships can translate ambitious SIDS climate commitments into practical implementation. Discussions will focus on country-led approaches to strengthening governance and coordination, mobilizing climate finance, improving data and reporting, and building lasting national capacities.

Event partners include: 
UN-OHRLLS
AOSIS
Climate Analytics

Location: All In Pavilion
Date: 10 November
Time: 12:30-13:30

With the world now on track to surpass the 1.5°C warming goal, it is critical to understand which climate actions are most effective at limiting this overshoot in the near term and enabling temperature stabilization and return over the longer term. Research teams from the Center for Global Sustainability at the University of Maryland and Climate Analytics will present their findings on the extent to which three solutions—super pollutants, forests, and the energy transition—can limit warming. Experts on each of these solutions will then discuss the implications and policy strategies of these findings for their work.

Managing the unavoidable overshoot of the global 1.5 °C target requires a comprehensive policy package to deliver the dual objective of both limiting the level and duration of 1.5°C exceedance in the near term and enabling the return to and well below 1.5°C this century. This includes policy strategies to accelerate actions in four key areas—cutting super pollutants, ending deforestation, transitioning away from fossil fuels in the whole economy, and scaling up novel carbon dioxide removal.

This event brings together modeling & research teams and policy practitioners from each of the key areas to discuss the latest science and policy implications for limiting 1.5c overshoot. The Center for Global Sustainability (CGS) at the University of Maryland will present a working paper with a “multispeed mitigation” pathway that illustrates the critical contribution of fast mitigation strategies (super pollutants and forests) for limiting the overshoot. Climate Analytics will present their latest report examining the potential of short-lived climate forcers, both relative to and in combination with other mitigation levers, to limit overshoot and bring warming back well below 1.5°C.

The brief research talks will be followed by a panel discussion with experts and policy practitioners on each of the key policy levers.

Speakers include:
Nate Hultman, Director, CGS
Ryna Cui, Associate Director, CGS
Anna Kanduth, Senior Climate Policy Analyst, Climate Analytics 
Marcelo Mena, CEO, Global Methane Hub 
Frances Seymour, Senior Policy Advisor, Woodwell Climate Research Center 
Caroline Brouilette, Executive Director, Climate Action Network Canada

Partners include: 
Center for Global Sustainability at the University of Maryland 
Climate Analytics

Location: CARICOM Pavilion
Date: 10 November
Time: 16:00-17:00

This session will bring together development partners, policymakers, technical experts and country representatives to examine how coordinated investments in charging infrastructure, utility readiness, financing and policy can support scalable electric mobility ecosystems and deliver measurable NDC outcomes.

Moderator: Vekash Khan, CCREEE
Panelists: 
- Lisa-Ann Fraser, CCREEE
- Fran Fuller, Head of Programme Strategies
- GIZ 
- CDB 

Event partners include: 
Caribbean Centre for Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency (CCREEE)

Location: SDG Pavilion
Date: 12 November
Time: 9:00-10:00

Small Island Developing States (SIDS) face disproportionate risks from global warming, particularly as temperatures overshoot the 1.5°C limit. This event will explore the consequences of overshoot for island states, highlighting their urgent adaptation needs and the growing challenge of loss and damage. Speakers will discuss the climate action needed to minimise overshoot, accelerate a just transition and set the world on a path back to well below 1.5°C by 2100.

Speakers
Adelle Thomas, Natural Resources Defense Council (NRDC)
Further panelists to be confirmed.

Moderator: Fran Fuller, Climate Analytics

Event partners include: 
UN-OHRLLS
UNIDO
AOSIS
Climate Analytics

Location: UNFFCCC official side event - Side event room 5
Date: 13 November
Time: 11:00-12:30

COP31 offers an opportunity to prove that implementation is happening. Framed around the Action Agenda and marking ten years of the NDC Partnership, this side event will provide visible, evidence-based examples of how country-driven climate action is contributing to emissions reductions and resilience. Drawing on country experience, the session will highlight priority action areas, evolving support needs, and practical examples of how coordinated technical assistance, capacity building, and investment alignment are strengthening institutions and accelerating delivery. It will also be transparent about the barriers still slowing implementation and identify lessons and priorities for the decade ahead, including how partners can better align support behind country priorities and help deliver 2030 targets

Speakers include Fran Fuller, Head of Programme Strategies, Climate Analytics 

Event partners include:
NDC Partnership

Location: UNFFCCC official side event - Side event room 4
Date: 13 November
Time: 11:00-13:00

NDCs will reflect countries’ Highest Possible Ambition (HPA) – a norm established by the Paris Agreement and confirmed in the ICJ’s 2025 advisory opinion. But what HPA means remains unclear. This event will explore the operationalisation of HPA through global, legal and diverse national lenses.

Speakers:

Speakers: Professor Joeri Rogelj, Director of Research, Imperial College London (UK) Zarrar Khan, Climate Analytics, Professor Vaibhav Chaturvedi, CEEW (India) Government of Grenada

Event partners include:
Imperial College London
Climate Analytics 
Council on Energy, Environment and Water (CEEW)
Grenada

Location: Asia Climate Solutions Pavilion
Date: 13 November
Time: 14:30-15:30

The session will explore the challenges of effectively translating and communicating climate issues across borders, cultures, and audiences, including how highly specialized climate science can be made accessible and relevant.

Speakers include Richard Black, Head of Communications at Climate Analytics.

Event partners include:
SFOC

Location: Benelux Pavilion
Date: 14 November
Time: 17:30-18:30

While the COP Action Agenda's voluntary "35 by 35" goal—aiming to raise electricity's share of final global energy consumption from ~20% to 35% by 2035—is a welcome step toward real-economy transformation, electrification is not a silver bullet on its own. Electrification is a vehicle, not the destination; its success in addressing the climate, energy, and cost-of-living crises depends entirely on where that power comes from.

If expanding power grids relies on gas, coal, or nuclear extensions rather than rapid, 1.5°C-aligned renewable deployment, electrification risks locking in fossil fuel reliance and driving up consumer energy costs.

How can Benelux countries help achieve that goal ?

Speakers:

Danial Riaz - Senior Climate and energy analyst at Climate analytics

Peter Wittoeck - Head of the Federal Climate Change Department in Belgium (HoD Belgium)

Kiki Berkers - Policy officer climate and natural resources at 11.11.11

Moderator: Thomas Gelin, Political Campaigner at Greenpeace EU unit 

Event partners include:
Greenpeace

Location: Nepal Pavilion 
Date: 16 November
Time: 11:30-12:30

As global temperature rise is on track to overshoot 1.5°C, the 2026 Bhotekoshi ice-rock avalanche and flooding catastrophe highlights the growing climate risks Nepal’s mountain communities face from extreme events and cascading hazards that threaten lives, infrastructure and development gains.

A recent World Weather Attribution (WWA) study highlighted how rapid warming in the Himalaya contributed to destabilizing mountain conditions, and how climate change can exacerbate complex, cascading hazards. This panel discussion will bring together experts and policymakers to examine the Bhotekoshi disaster through the lens of climate science, deepening understanding of the implications of 1.5°C overshoot and highlighting the urgency of limiting overshoot, with a goal of translating science into action to drive policy and investment.

Speakers:
Mr. Manjeet Dhakal, Director, Climate Analytics South Asia
Dr. Maheshwar Dhakal, JS and Chief, CCMD, MoAFE 
Panelists:
Dr. Koko Warner, Head of Science, Loss and Damage, Climate Analytics
Dr. Fahad Saeed, Senior Climate Scientist, Climate Analytics South Asia 
Dr. Ben Clarke, Imperial College London / Dr. Friederike "Fredi" Otto, WWA
Dr. Adelle Thomas, IPCC Vice Chair, WGII 
Moderator:
Mr. Abhishek Yadav, Deputy Director, Climate Analytics South Asia

Event hosted by
Government of Nepal
Ministry of Agriculture, Forests and Environment (MoAFE)

Location: Singapore Pavilion
Date: 16 November
Time: 12:30-13:30

This event shares how the GMPA can facilitate international cooperation by facilitating grid interconnection, green hydrogen and ammonia trade, joint renewable projects and trade in green industrial intermediate products. 

Speakers:
Angela Churie Kallhauge, Executive Vice President, Impact at Environmental Defense Fund, and Co-Chair of the Mitigation Work Programme (MWP)
Prof Dr Michiel Schaeffer (Climate Analytics)
Dr Aniq Ahsan (MOYA Analytics)
Benedict Chia, Director-General (Climate Change), National Climate Change Secretariat, Prime Minister’s Office, Singapore
Dato’ Razib Dawood, Executive Director, ASEAN Centre for Energy
Amanda McKee, Director for Knowledge and Learning, NDC Partnership
Stelios Pesmajoglou, Manager, UNFCCC Secretariat (Mitigation team).

Location: Asia Climate Solutions Pavilion
Date: 16 November
Time: 13:15-14:15

A discussion about how climate litigation can influence the way we communicate about climate change, and how legal cases and their outcomes can potentially make climate issues more tangible, compelling, and effective for broader audiences.

Speakers include Richard Black, Head of Communications at Climate Analytics

Event hosted by
Solutions for our Climate (SFOC)

Location: Cryosphere Pavilion
Date: 16 November
Time: 19:30-20:30

“What Happens Here” is an audio-visual piece that weaves voices recorded across Australia into a layered soundscape built around a short film on sea-level rise. It will feature an interactive panel with representatives from the Australian Government, Climate Analytics, and Indigenous peoples of Australia. The panel will discuss the sounds of glaciers moving and melting, Australians’ calls for climate action, and the question of what rights Antarctica would have if it had any. ICCI will screen the Antarctica 2100 film and a live DJ will play a set that weaves seismic recordings from Denman Glacier into music.

Speakers include Thomas Houlie (Climate Analytics).

Partners include:
Antarctic and Southern Ocean Coalition (ASOC), ICCI, Blue Screen Studio, Code for Good

Location: IOM Pavilion 
Date: 17 November
Time: 14:30-15:30

Climate policy often focuses on movement, yet many people remain in place despite climate risks. The event combines evidence from across Africa and Latin America and highlights gendered dimensions of immobility, community-led responses to climate harms, and lessons for adaptation policy and implementation. By focusing on those who stay, who leaves and who returns, the session contributes to discussions on the Global Goal on Adaptation, locally led adaptation and climate justice, emphasizing the need for policies that recognize immobility as a critical dimension of climate vulnerability and resilience.

Speakers:

Emily Boyd (Director Beijer Institute, Lund University & Climes, Sweden) 
Mumuni Abu (University of Ghana) 
Denboy Kudejira (University of Cape Town, African Synthesis Centre for Climate Change, Environment and Development) 
Patricia Pinho (IPAM, Brazil) 

Event partners include:
Lund University LUCSUS
University of Ghana
Centre for Research on Governance and Development (CPGD)
Climate Analytics
Beijer Institute
IPAM Amazonia
Belmont Forum
Inter-American Insittute for Global Research (IAI)
Formas
Swedish Research Council
Swedish centre for impacts of climate extremes (climes)
Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency (Sida)
ASCEND

Location: Moana Blue Pacific Pavilion
Date: 17 November
Time: 14:00-14:50

The event aims to facilitate a direct exchange between Pacific and Caribbean practitioners, negotiators and communities on how each region defines, documents and advocates for NELD, what has worked in community-level documentation, and what a genuinely South-South approach to non-economic loss could look like, including how it can shape the design and delivery of support from the FRLD and other climate finance mechanisms.

Speakers
Keynote: Hon. Huʻakavameiliku Siaosi Sovaleni (Pacific Political Climate Champion for Loss and Damage)
Moderator: Mr. Patrick Pringle - Climate Analytics
Panellists:
   - Mr. Mike Waiwai – Director, Department of Climate Change, Vanuatu
   - Ms. Kathy Jetñil-Kijiner – Climate Envoy, Republic of the Marshall Islands
   - Caribbean representative (tbc)
   - Dr. Mark Bynoe – Assistant Executive Director, Caribbean Community Climate Change Centre (CCCCC)

Event partners include: 
Secretariat of the Pacific Regional Enviroment Programme (SPREP)

Location: Regional Climate Foundation Pavilion
Date: 18 November
Time: 16:15-17:15

This moderated panel will explore what a 1.5°C-aligned transition requires and how different energy, economic and political realities shape national pathways. The event will address key TAFF implementation bottlenecks and levers: finance and fiscal diversification, electrification, green industrialisation, national roadmaps and international cooperation, identifying practical pathways to turn global commitments into action towards GST2.

Moderator: Daisy Dunne, Associate Editor, Carbon Brief

Panelists:
Neil Grant, Senior Expert on Mitigation Pathways and Climate Policy Analysis, Climate Analytics
Natalie Jones, Senior Policy Advisor, The International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD)
Kapwani Kavenuke, Energy Campaigner, Powershift Africa
Edlayan Passos, Energy specialist, Instituto E+ Transição Energética
Ümit Sahin, Head of Climate Change Program, Sabanci University Istanbul Policy Center
Matt Webb, Associate Director, E3G
Valeria Zanini, Policy Advisor Climate Diplomacy, ECCO

Location: Moana Blue Pacific Pavilion
Date: 18 November
Time: 17:00-17:50

Through the BOLD Response Project, partner countries, SPREP and Climate Analytics are collaborating to design and test a loss and damage assessment methodology for non- economic loss that is technically robust, grounded in Pacific realities, and shaped by community consultation. The aim is an approach that turns communities’ lived experience of loss, into evidence that governments can use in planning, reporting and funding requests, while keeping communities in control of their stories and data.

This side event presents the progress to date, shares early lessons, and provides an opportunity to discuss the key elements and principles that a practical Pacific NELD Assessment Methodology should consider.

Keynote: Hon. Huʻakavameiliku Siaosi Sovaleni (Pacific Political Climate Champion for Loss and Damage)
Moderator: Malaki Iakopo, SPREP
Panellists:
   - Patrick Pringle - Climate Analytics
   - Moirah Matou - National Coordinator, Vanuatu BOLD Response Project - DoCC
   - Leba A Gaunavinaka - Adaptation Advisor, Fiji Government's Climate Change and International Cooperation Division

Event partners include:
Secretariat of the Pacific Regional Enviroment Programme (SPREP)
Climate Analytics

Location: Asia Climate Solutions Pavilion
Date: 19 November
Time: 9:00-10:00

Substantive decarbonization of the industrial sector is essential not only to achieving the 2050 carbon neutrality target, but also to responding to increasingly stringent global carbon regulations and trade barriers and securing long-term industrial competitiveness. This is particularly important for export-oriented economies such as South Korea, where the competitiveness of energy-intensive industries is closely linked to their ability to adapt to evolving global climate policies and market expectations. In particular, lowering the carbon intensity of products is critical to mitigating the costs associated with carbon regulations. It is also key to meeting evolving demand for low-carbon products and supply chain requirements in global markets.

Carbon-related trade measures, such as the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and the United States’ proposed Clean Competition Act (CCA), are reshaping the international trade landscape. These measures are increasing pressure on export-oriented industries to reduce product-level carbon emissions and strengthen their capacity to measure and manage them. Although petrochemical products are not currently directly covered by CBAM, the industry needs to prepare proactively for potential changes in the scope of the regulation and growing global market demand for low-carbon products.

This session will examine how emerging carbon-related trade measures are reshaping the operating environment for the petrochemical industry and influencing global trade and industrial competitiveness. It will also explore the practical decarbonization efforts that industry needs to pursue to lower the carbon intensity of its products, as well as the policy measures required to support these efforts. Drawing on the experience of South Korea’s export-oriented petrochemical industry as a case study, the session will discuss how the industry can respond proactively to evolving global regulatory and market conditions and secure long-term export competitiveness.

Moderator: SFOC Chaejin Shin  

Speakers:

Seungyeop Lee, Strategy Lead, Solutions for Our Climate (SFOC)

Ayoung Kim, Policy Analyst, Solutions for Our Climate (SFOC)

Panelists: 

Adrien Assous | Executive Director, Sandbag

Thomas Koch Blank | Managing Director of Climate-Aligned Industries Program, RMI

Danial Riaz | Senior Energy and Climate Policy Analyst, Climate Analytics

Karina Marzano Franco | Project Lead for Trade and International Partnerships, Agora Industry

Location: Asia Climate Solutions Pavilion
Date: 19 November
Time: 11:30-12:30

 This discussion will examine what is needed to stop further blast furnace relining and accelerate the transition away from coal-based steelmaking. What needs to change in corporate transition planning to move investment away from extending blast furnace lifetimes? What policies and financial conditions are needed to enable this shift? And how can civil society, researchers and other stakeholders work together to turn the call for no more relines into concrete changes in corporate and government action?

Speakers include:
Hyesung An, Researcher,SFOC 
Facilitator: Chaejin Shin Strategy Associate, SFOC
REI Japan
Climate Analytics
Caroline Ashley Executive Director, SteelWatch

Event partners include:
SFOC

Location: Türkiye Pavilion 
Date: 19 November
Time: 12:30-13:15

The Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI), with the Strategy and Budget Office of Türkiye (SBO) and Climate Analytics, invites you to a preview of LEAP 2027, the next generation of SEI’s Low Emissions Analysis Platform. LEAP is used by almost 80,000 people in 210 countries and territories for energy, climate mitigation, and air pollution planning, and at least 65 countries have used it in developing their NDCs, LEDS, and BTRs.

LEAP 2027 reflects SEI’s view that climate planning must remain human-centered. Rather than using AI alone to calculate optimal technical pathways, LEAP 2027 will use it to broaden participation: planners and stakeholders who are not expert modelers can explore LEAP models in natural language and ask tough questions of them. LEAP’s new AI capabilities also make it faster to build the detailed, integrated models that support implementation, a key theme of COP31. Models that more people understand can build trust in climate transition pathways and help accelerate action.

Moderated by Dr. Somya Joshi, Research Director, SEI, and chair of SEI’s AI Task Force

Speakers include:
Dr. Charles Heaps, Senior Scientist, SEI, and lead developer of LEAP
Abhishek Yadav and Thomas Houlie, Climate Analytics

Location: Asia Climate Solutions Pavilion
Date: 20 November
Time: 14:00-15:00

​In the first Global Stocktake, Parties to the Paris Agreement agreed on “transitioning away from fossil fuels (TAFF) in energy systems, in a just, orderly and equitable manner”. The growing momentum around TAFF means that the focus needs to move from aspiration to implementation, including through national and international roadmaps. While agreement on the need for a TAFF is growing, two questions remain. One is how to translate this commitment at the national level, through the design and preparation of a TAFF roadmap. The second is how to deliver it on the ground.

​This session will explore the progress that has been made towards setting just and orderly roadmaps to phase out fossil fuels in countries in Asia and the Pacific, what they imply and, beyond the national scale, how regional integration through trade and diplomacy can contribute to that goal.

Speakers include:
Natasha Green, E3G
Juyoung Park, SFOC
Yingjie Chen, Green Hub

Event partners include:
SFOC