Long-term sea-level rise implied by 1.5 degree and 2 degree Celsius warming levels

Sea-level rise (SLR) is a critical and uncertain climate change risk, involving timescales of centuries. Here we use a semi-empirical model, calibrated with sea-level data of the past millennium, to estimate the SLR implications of holding warming below 2°C or 1.5°C above pre-industrial temperature, as mentioned in the Cancún Agreements.

Date Published
2012, June 01

Michiel Schaeffer, William Hare, Stefan Rahmstorf, Martin Vermeer

Nature Climate Change: Letters
2, 867–870, doi:10.1038/nclimate1584