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1.5°C conference in Oxford

1.5°C conference in Oxford

Climate Analytics researchers are in Keble College in Oxford 20-22 September for the conference entitled “1.5 degrees: Meeting the challenges of the Paris Agreement.” The two-day meeting of over 200 prominent climate science and policy researchers aims to identify the key areas the scientific community will need to concentrate on to fill the research gap on the nature, benefits and feasibility of a 1.5°C world.
2016, September 20
Zero emission vehicles need to take over car market to reach 1.5°C limit: Climate Action Tracker

Zero emission vehicles need to take over car market to reach 1.5°C limit: Climate Action Tracker

Zero-emission vehicles need to reach a dominant market share by around 2035 for the world to meet the Paris Agreement’s lower warming limit of 1.5°C—and even that could be too late to avoid the need for significant negative emissions, according to new analysis by the Climate Action Tracker. This transformation of the passenger transport sector would also have to be accompanied by a decarbonisation of the power sector to ensure the electric vehicles (EV) are truly emissions free.
2016, September 15

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1.5°C - key facts

Since 2009 Small Island Developing States and Least Developed Countries have been calling for limiting global temperature rise to below 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. This page is an information pool for material around the 1.5°C temperature limit.

Ratification Tracker

The Paris Agreement has a double threshold of 55 countries and 55% of global emissions that must both be met before it enters into force and becomes legally binding. It opened for signature on 22 April 2016. Climate Analytics tracks the progress of ratification on this page.



Dr Tabea Lissner, who leads our work in the field of socio-ecological systems and vulnerability, explains how significant the differences in climate change impacts are between global warming levels of 1.5°C and 2°C in this Beyond Zero Emissions podcast. The podcast was produced with 3CR, an Australian community radio station in Melbourne.


All Events

2050 strategies towards 1.5°C with States, Regions and Cities

This COP22 side event, organised jointly with The Climate Group and C40 Cities, looks at what do cities, states and regions need to deliver on the 1.5°C temperature limit in the Paris Agreement.  

15 November 2016, 16:45 – 18:15
Marrakech, Morocco
UNFCCC Climate Conference COP22
Observer Room 6

Case for 1.5°C strengthens at New York Climate Week

Green makes the world go round – it’s a saying that’s especially apparent here in the hustle of New York. But when the Empire State Building lit up in green to mark the beginning of Climate Week, it signalled a different kind of rush entirely: the rush to ratify the Paris Agreement and for governments, businesses, NGOs, and citizens from all walks of life to take immediate and decisive action on climate change.  
23 September 2016

The spirit of Paris - alive and kicking

Today the presidents of the world’s two biggest greenhouse gas polluters, China and the US, ratified the Paris Agreement, making the possibility of its entry into force by the end of this year or early next ever more likely.  
03 September 2016

Media coverage

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Benefits of greenhouse gas pact may fall short of high hopes

Benefits of greenhouse gas pact may fall short of high hopesReuters

A pact by almost 200 nations to slash greenhouse gases used in refrigerators and air conditioners will likely fall short of governments' hopes of averting a full half-degree Celsius (0.9 Fahrenheit) of warming this century, scientists say. Michiel Schaeffer of Climate Analytics estimates "around 0.2 degree Celsius (0.36F) by 2100" of avoided warming.

2016, October 16

Australia facing questions at UN over post-2020 climate change stance

Australia facing questions at UN over post-2020 climate change stanceThe Age

Australia is facing renewed international pressure to explain what it is doing to tackle climate change, with a United Nations review finding its emissions continue to soar and several countries calling for clarity about what it will do after 2020. Climate Analytics CEO Bill Hare says questions asked of Australia showed deep scepticism and frustration beneath a diplomatic veneer.

2016, October 12

United States will miss Paris climate targets without further action, study finds

United States will miss Paris climate targets without further action, study findsScience

Even if the United States implements all current and proposed policies, it would miss its 2025 target by as much as 1.5 billion metric tons of carbon dioxide per year—roughly 20% of the nation’s total emissions, according to the analysis published today in Nature Climate Change. Although the U.S. path to meeting its promises is uncertain, it has made further progress than some other countries, says Bill Hare, a climate scientist and CEO of Climate Analytics.

2016, September 26


Ethnic divides play a major role in many armed conflicts around the world and might serve as predetermined conflict lines following rapidly emerging societal tensions arising from disruptive events like natural disasters. We find evidence in global datasets that risk of armed-conflict outbreak is enhanced by climate-related disaster occurrence in ethnically fractionalized countries. Although we find no indications that environmental disasters directly trigger armed conflicts, our results imply that disasters might act as a threat multiplier in several of the world’s most conflict-prone regions.