Publications

The Review to be held from 2013–2015 is a key mechanism to assess the adequacy of the long-term global goal, with a view to strengthening the goal to keep long-term increase in temperature to below 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels.

This paper reviews the scientific literature on impacts for 1.5 and 2°C warming levels with focus on risks for Least Developed Countries. We summarise observed impacts in LDCs that have been related to global mean temperature and provide an overview of projected future changes.

In this paper, authors analyse integrated assessment models find how emissions would need to behave to limit warming to below 2°C.

Climate projections in the IPCC fifth assessment report (AR5) will be based on the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, which incorporates the latest versions of climate models and focuses on RCPs. This implies that by AR5 both models and scenarios will have changed, making a comparison with earlier literature challenging. To facilitate this comparison, we provide probabilistic climate projections of both SRES scenarios and RCPs in a single consistent framework.

Sound decisions in international climate policy depend on comprehensive and reliable emission data as well as accurate analysis and comparisons of policy proposals. In this paper the authors discuss three applications of the PRIMAP emissions module.