Publications
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![Evaluation of the International Energy Agency's Energy Technology Perspectives 2012 emission scenarios](https://ca1-clm.edcdn.com/publications/_c400x565/climate-projections_evaluation_of_iea_etp_2012_emission_scenarios_-_climate_analytics_working_paper_2012-1_20120507.pdf-7452.jpg?v=1706720677)
Briefings
The IEA recently developed three updated scenarios for the 2012 edition of Energy Technology Perspectives. Here we assess their probabilities of limiting warming to the long term climate goals mention in the Cancun agreement.
![Climate Action Tracker Mexico – Assessment of Mexico's policies impacting its greenhouse gas emissions profile](https://ca1-clm.edcdn.com/publications/_c400x565/WP1_MX_Country_report_2012.pdf-88111.jpg?v=1706720677)
Reports
![A scaling approach to probabilistic assessment of regional climate change](https://ca1-clm.edcdn.com/publications/_c400x565/clim-jcli-d-11-00199.1.pdf-73469.jpg?v=1706965979)
Peer-reviewed Papers
This paper introduces a new approach to probabilistic projections of regional climate change.
![Copenhagen Accord Pledges imply higher costs for staying below 2°C warming](https://ca1-clm.edcdn.com/masthead/_c400x565/alexandra-mitache-bxi6Qk1G9rE-unsplash.jpg?v=1706739244)
Peer-reviewed Papers
This study compares emission pathways aimed at limiting temperature increase to 2°C under varying constraints. The 2020 emission level represents a trade-off between short-term emission reductions and long-term dependence on rapid reductions through specific technologies (like negative emission reductions). Higher 2020 emissions lead to higher overall costs.
![National GHG emissions reduction pledges and 2°C: comparison of studies](https://ca1-clm.edcdn.com/_c400x565/marcin-jozwiak-YGPCYETKFw8-unsplash.jpg?v=1706727247)
Peer-reviewed Papers
This article provides further detail on expected global GHG emission levels in 2020, based on the 2010 Emissions Gap Report, assuming the emission reduction proposals in the Copenhagen Accord and Cancun Agreements are met.