Publications

This report, published by the United Nations Environment Program, outlines how far the current commitments and pledges of developed and developing nations can take the world in terms of achieving the 2°C limit or less, and the gap that remains between ambition and reality.

This paper shows that ambitious global greenhouse gas mitigation action in a transparent and effective international climate regime is of great importance to Least Developed Countries.

This paper reviews the scientific literature on impacts for 1.5 and 2°C warming levels with focus on risks for Least Developed Countries. We summarise observed impacts in LDCs that have been related to global mean temperature and provide an overview of projected future changes.

In this paper, authors analyse integrated assessment models find how emissions would need to behave to limit warming to below 2°C.

Climate projections in the IPCC fifth assessment report (AR5) will be based on the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, which incorporates the latest versions of climate models and focuses on RCPs. This implies that by AR5 both models and scenarios will have changed, making a comparison with earlier literature challenging. To facilitate this comparison, we provide probabilistic climate projections of both SRES scenarios and RCPs in a single consistent framework.