Linking sea level rise and socioeconomic indicators under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

Date Published 2017, October

Authors Alexander Nauels, Joeri Rogelj, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Malte Meinshausen and Matthias Mengel

Journal Environmental Research Letters
Volume 12, Number 11,

This paper incorporates latest findings on Antarctic ice sheet dynamics into new sea level rise modelling, and pairs it with the new generation of scenarios – Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and compares them with outcomes for the previous generation of scenarios – Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), used in the last IPCC Assessment (AR5). It finds that without any mitigation, sea levels could rise by an average of 132 cm in 2100 relative to the 1986-2005 mean.