Türkiye became the second largest coal-fired power generator in Europe in 2023. While there is abundant potential for wind and solar deployment in Türkiye, further action will be necessary to transform the Turkish electricity system into one powered predominantly by renewables.

Türkiye’s transition to wind and solar slowed in 2023, with wind generation falling for the first time, and Poland overtaking Türkiye in the share of solar in the electricity mix.

In this report, we explore the level of wind and solar that Türkiye would need to install as part of a global 1.5ºC compatible pathway. Our benchmarks are also compatible with tripling renewables capacity by 2030.

Key findings

There is no room for complacency in the transition to wind and solar. Wind and solar generation in Türkiye needs to grow three to four times by 2030, reaching 160–215 TWh in 2030, up from 50 TWh in 2022.

This would require just over 90 GW of wind and solar to be installed by 2030 (60 GW of solar, 30 GW of wind).

This would be equivalent to achieving the wind and solar capacity targets set by the National Electricity Plan for 2035 five years early.

Türkiye needs to update its renewables targets, and drive the acceleration of the energy transition needed to deliver on them.