Publications
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![How feasible is changing track? Scenario analysis on the implications of changing emission tracks after 2020, from an insufficient global deal on 2020 reductions, to 2°C and 1.5°C pathways](https://ca1-clm.edcdn.com/publications/_c400x565/CA-Final-Report-Change-Track-Scenarios-CI-20091202.pdf-73937.jpg?v=1706675726)
Reports
This report analyses the potential for changing track after 2020, from an insufficient global reductionby 2020, to two emission pathways that imply a reasonable chance to stay below 2°C and 1.5°C respectively.
![Near-linear cost increase to reduce climate-change risk](https://ca1-clm.edcdn.com/publications/_c400x565/pnas.0802416106_2023-09-15-134506_wvjd.pdf-72775.jpg?v=1706675856)
Peer-reviewed Papers
We investigate the qualitative, functional relationship between the likelihood of achieving a normative target and the costs of climate-change mitigation. In contrast to the example of exponentially rising costs for lowering concentration levels, we show that the mitigation costs rise proportionally to the likelihood of meeting a temperature target, across a range of concentration levels.