Publications

Here, we document the design of the half a degree additional warming, projections, prognosis and impacts (HAPPI) experiment. HAPPI provides a framework for the generation of climate data describing how the climate, and in particular extreme weather, might differ from the present day in worlds that are 1.5 and 2.0 °C warmer than pre-industrial conditions.

Regional climate signals at specific global warming levels, and especially the differences between 1.5°C and 2°C, are not well constrained in the science. This article reviews alternative approaches for identifying regional climate signals associated with global temperature limits, and evaluates the extent to which they constitute a sound basis for impacts analysis.

We look back at how our work reflected and fed into the global priorities following the adoption of the Paris Agreement.

This report looks into the implications of the Paris Agreement for coal fired electricity generation. It shows that the Paris Agreement 1.5°C temperature limit requires a quick phase-out of coal used for electric power generation.