Action by China and India slows emissions growth, President Trump’s policies likely to cause US emissions to flatten

Global leadership on climate is changing, with positive developments on coal use in China and India likely to reduce projected global carbon emissions by roughly two to three billion tonnes by 2030 compared to our estimate last year. The recent, highly adverse rollbacks by President Trump are unlikely to have a major impact on global emissions by 2030.

Faster and cleaner 2: it only takes a few countries to kick-start energy system decarbonisation

Reports

April 2017

Faster and cleaner 2: it only takes a few countries to kick-start energy system decarbonisation

This Climate Action Tracker report examines the trends driving decarbonisation in three key sectors of the global energy system: power, transportation, and buildings — and looks at what can drive rapid transitions in these areas.

Decarbonisation targets and 1.5℃ pathways

A stress test for coal in Europe under the Paris Agreement

Reports

February 2017

A stress test for coal in Europe under the Paris Agreement

This report elaborates a strategy for phasing out coal in the European Union and its member states and provides a science-based shut-down schedule of coal power plants at the individual unit level, in line with the Paris Agreement long-term temperature goal.

Decarbonisation targets and 1.5℃ pathways

Characterising half-a-degree difference: a review of methods for identifying regional climate responses to global warming targets

Peer-reviewed Papers

January 2017

Characterising half-a-degree difference: a review of methods for identifying regional climate responses to global warming targets

Regional climate signals at specific global warming levels, and especially the differences between 1.5°C and 2°C, are not well constrained in the science. This article reviews alternative approaches for identifying regional climate signals associated with global temperature limits, and evaluates the extent to which they constitute a sound basis for impacts analysis.

Reports

November 2016

The low carbon monitor

This United Nations Development Programme report, commissioned by the Climate Vulnerable Forum, focuses on the benefits and opportunities of limiting warming to 1.5°C, as enshrined in the Paris Agreement, in terms of economic growth, employment, avoided climate impacts, energy security, access and imports and health.

The ten most important short-term steps to limit warming to 1.5°C

Reports

November 2016

The ten most important short-term steps to limit warming to 1.5°C

This Climate Action Tracker report spells out ten important, short-term steps that key sectors - including energy generation, road transport, buildings, industry, forestry and land use, and commercial agriculture - need to take to help the world achieve the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit.

Decarbonisation targets and 1.5℃ pathways

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Decarbonisation targets and 1.5℃ pathways

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Publications

Action by China and India slows emissions growth, President Trump’s policies likely to cause US emissions to flatten

Faster and cleaner 2: it only takes a few countries to kick-start energy system decarbonisation

A stress test for coal in Europe under the Paris Agreement

Characterising half-a-degree difference: a review of methods for identifying regional climate responses to global warming targets

The low carbon monitor

The ten most important short-term steps to limit warming to 1.5°C