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RegioClim

Working Papers

September 2016

RegioClim is an online tool that gives non-expert users simple access to regional climate projections for all African countries for five climate indicators: temperature, hot extremes, precipitation, wet extremes and five-day wet extremes.

Armed-conflict risks enhanced by climate-related disasters in ethnically fractionalised countries

Peer-reviewed Papers

July 2016

We find evidence in global datasets that risk of armed-conflict outbreak is enhanced by climate-related disaster occurrence in ethnically fractionalised countries. Although we find no indications that environmental disasters directly trigger armed conflicts, our results imply that disasters might act as a threat multiplier in several of the world’s most conflict-prone regions.