Climate Action Tracker rates Russia's INDC "inadequate"
The INDC states that this target is subject to “the maximum possible account of absorbing capacity of forests.” However, it does not provide any further information on which accounting rules it has used, nor the potential magnitude of their impact on emissions levels in 2030. The CAT’s interpretation of this is that the Russian Federation will use a net–net approach.
Russia’s emissions dropped substantially after 1990 and forestry emissions have turned from an emissions source into an emissions sink. Given Russia’s projected forestry sink of around 0.5 GtCO2e in 2030 (Russian Federation, 2014a), the CAT assessment is that Russia’s proposed commitment for 2030 allows emissions of industrial GHG  to grow significantly from the current levels to 3.0 to 3.2 GtCO2e in 2030 (excluding LULUCF): 6% to 11% below 1990 levels of industrial GHG emissions. To achieve this proposed target, Russian needs to take no further action other than its currently implemented policies.
The “inadequate” rating indicates that the Russian commitment is not in line with interpretations of a “fair” approach to reach a 2°C pathway. To be rated “sufficient” Russia would have to put forward a much more stringent target.
Russia has previously made a commitment to reduce emissions by 25% below 1990 levels by 2020. It is unclear whether forestry sinks are taken into account for this target. Even if these are excluded, this still implies an increase of 16–17% compared to the 2010 industrial GHG emissions level (excluding LULUCF) and is rated to be an “inadequate” level of ambition (2010 industrial GHG emissions were already 34% below 1990 levels).
To be on track for its long-term target, which the CAT also rates “inadequate”, Russia’s emissions would need to peak and start declining at much higher rates of reduction post-2030.
Carbon capture and storage could unleash 86 billion tonne carbon bomb
A new analysis finds reliance on carbon capture and storage could release an extra 86 billion tonnes of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere between 2020 and 2050.
Projected warming almost unchanged for two years as governments push false solutions over climate action
Despite their promises, governments have not taken enough action to drive down warming projections, with some instead turning to false solutions such as carbon capture and storage to continue the world's reliance on fossil fuels, according to the Climate Action Tracker's annual warming update.
Oil and gas majors could have paid for their share of climate loss and damage and still earned 10 trillion USD: new report
Global climate damages from emissions associated with the top 25 oil and gas ‘carbon majors’ between 1985 and 2018 are estimated at 20 trillion USD compared to the 30 trillion USD they earned over the same period, according to a new report released today by international think tank Climate Analytics.
A 1.5˚C pathway for the Philippines power sector entirely feasible: analysis
With the right international funding and policies in place, the Philippines could transition its’ power sector to near-100% renewable energy without compromising on the costs of electricity, reducing its reliance on expensive imports of both coal and gas, and creating up to a million jobs by 2050.
State of Climate Action report finds progress lags on every measure except EV sales
Global efforts to limit warming to 1.5°C are failing across the board, with recent progress made on every indicator — except electric passenger car sales — lagging significantly behind the pace and scale that is necessary to address the climate crisis.
Governments plan to produce double the fossil fuels in 2030 than the 1.5°C warming limit allows
The Production Gap Report finds governments plan to produce around 110% more fossil fuels in 2030 than would be consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C, and 69% more than would be consistent with 2°C.
Beetaloo fracking and Middle Arm emissions wildly underestimated: analysis
An independent analysis of the projected emissions from the Northern Territory's proposed Beetaloo Basin gas fracking project — and the associated Middle Arm LNG precinct in Darwin Harbour — has found they've been gravely underestimated, as have the availability of offsets to deal with them.
Comic artists respond to the climate crisis
Three leading comic creators have collaborated with the Horizon Europe project, CONSTRAIN, to develop comics exploring the climate change challenge.
Adelle Thomas elected as Vice-Chair of the IPCC's Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability group
Dr. Adelle Thomas elected as Vice-Chair of the IPCC's Working Group II contribution on on Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability for the seventh assessment report cycle
Changes to the jet stream could trigger simultaneous crop failures impacting global food security
This new study finds that the jet stream – air currents in the upper atmosphere – can synchronise extreme weather caused by climate change, resulting in crop failures in multiple countries at the same time.