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Sarah Heck says an additional 2 degrees Celsius of heat in the atmosphere would lead to ice-free summers in the Arctic at least once a decade, as opposed to once a century in a 1.5-degree scenario.

Sarah Heck, climate policy analyst at Climate Analytics, discusses COP and climate inaction live on CNBC.

“The big problem is that progress has flattened in the last few years, both in terms of targets put forward by countries and policies put in place. Ten years after Paris, COP30 will have to deal with some of this delay with urgency,” Hare said.

The UN Environment Program’s Emissions Gap report says global temperatures now predicted to reach 2.3-2.5°C, down from 2.6-2.8°C last year. While this is progress, we must go faster. Our CEO Bill Hare told AP that the numbers indicate “a lack of political will”.

Climate and energy policy analyst Thomas Houlie said Indonesia is lagging despite its vast renewable potential. “Its latest power grid plan delayed a lot of the renewable deployment until after 2030 and includes near-term increases in fossil-fuel generation,” said Mr Houlie.

Gabon officially validated its NDC3.0 on October 22. Through this NDC, the country has committed to not only reducing greenhouse gas emissions across the energy, transport, agriculture, and industry sectors, but also enhancing its net carbon sink capacity.

Labelling heavy industry like steel as “hard-to-abate” has shaped policy and business action in ways that risk undermining global efforts to cut emissions, writes Bill Hare.

“Keeping warming to 1.5°C now hinges on one thing: speed,” says Bill Hare, in response to the State of Climate Action 2025 report.

Angola has scaled back its targets for reducing emissions in its new national climate plan. While the biggest emitters need to do more, “it’s also important that smaller emitters put forward the highest possible ambition,” Bill Hare said, adding that development aid cuts are affecting countries in need of climate finance.

“The IEA has, consistently over the last couple of decades, way underestimated how fast renewables are growing,” said Robert Brecha, a senior climate and energy adviser at Climate Analytics, a global climate science and policy institute, who was not involved in either the Ember or IEA report. “I don’t see any reason to believe that renewables won’t double by 2030.”