Publications
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Briefings
This note discusses how assessments of how global-mean warming (measured in °C) can shift under changing estimates of equilibrium climate sensitivity.
Reports
The second report in the Turn down the heat series looks at the likely impacts on three vulnerable regions if the world continues on its current trajectory and warms by 2°C over pre-industrial times by mid-century and continues to become 4°C warmer by 2100.
Reports
This report provides a snapshot of recent scientific literature and new analyses of likely impacts and risks that would be associated with a 4°C warming within this century.
Peer-reviewed Papers
Sea-level rise is a critical and uncertain climate change risk, involving timescales of centuries.
Peer-reviewed Papers
This paper introduces a new approach to probabilistic projections of regional climate change.