German coal commission phase out plan falls short of Paris Agreement targets
The commission recommends to shut down 12.5 GW of Germany’s total 45 GW coal power capacity by 2022, and another 15.5 GW until 2030. This excludes the so-called ‘security reserve,’ which creates a potential loophole. It set the phase-out date for 2038 with an option for an early phase-out in 2035.
Phasing out coal is an essential step in achieving the emissions reductions needed to limit global warming to 1.5°C, as set out in the Paris Agreement. The commission’s proposed timeline is incompatible with Paris Agreement goals, which mean that all OECD countries, including Germany, phase out coal power generation by 2030.
If Germany were to adopt the coal commission’s proposal, it would be the only EU country with a coal exit date after 2030, setting a worrying precedent for climate action in Europe and around the world.
Delaying coal exit until 2038 would put Germany behind other leading European economies including France and the United Kingdom, both members of the Powering Past Coal Alliance. The alliance includes 30 governments (of those 11 are EU member states), 22 provinces and cities and 28 transnationals, who pledged to phase out coal by 2030.
The coal commission proposal to the German government comes at a critical time for the European Union and global climate protection. Current emission reduction pledges are vastly insufficient to achieve the Paris Agreement goals and would lead to a warming of 3°C the end of the century and unless substantially strengthened, would lock out limiting warming to 1.5°C.
It is of outmost importance, that governments come forward with new and updated climate targets for 2030 (so-called National Determined Countributions) by 2020 and the world is looking at the European Union for its leadership.
Just yesterday, 5 nordic countries – Norway, Sweden, Finland, Denmark and Iceland – committed to strengthen their emission reduction targets to be in line with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C temperature limit.
By pushing back the date of exiting coal, the coal commission proposal would, if ultimately adopted by the German government, also miss the opportunity to substantially close the 2020 emissions gap towards achieving Germany’s national target (100 MtCO2e, according to recent government estimates.
Germany has just seen a record-breaking summer that has rattled the country and caused massive losses in the agriculture and forestry sector. The IPCC special report on Global Warming of 1.5°C that has renewed the stark warnings of the scientific community of the impacts of exceed 1.5°C. Public support for stringent climate protection has never been higher.
Carl Schleusser (Berlin): +49 177 5141559 firstname.lastname@example.org
Paola Yanguas Parra (Berlin) +49 157 828 75700 email@example.com
Bill Hare, CEO – in Perth, Australia: +61 468 372 179 firstname.lastname@example.org
Ela Smith, media (Berlin): +49 152 56124061 email@example.com
All greenhouse gas emissions could peak in 2023
A new report finds maintaining current solar, wind and electric vehicle growth rates could lead to peak emissions in 2023.
Oil and gas majors could have paid for their share of climate loss and damage and still earned 10 trillion USD: new report
Global climate damages from emissions associated with the top 25 oil and gas ‘carbon majors’ between 1985 and 2018 are estimated at 20 trillion USD compared to the 30 trillion USD they earned over the same period, according to a new report released today by international think tank Climate Analytics.
A 1.5˚C pathway for the Philippines power sector entirely feasible: analysis
With the right international funding and policies in place, the Philippines could transition its’ power sector to near-100% renewable energy without compromising on the costs of electricity, reducing its reliance on expensive imports of both coal and gas, and creating up to a million jobs by 2050.
State of Climate Action report finds progress lags on every measure except EV sales
Global efforts to limit warming to 1.5°C are failing across the board, with recent progress made on every indicator — except electric passenger car sales — lagging significantly behind the pace and scale that is necessary to address the climate crisis.
Governments plan to produce double the fossil fuels in 2030 than the 1.5°C warming limit allows
The Production Gap Report finds governments plan to produce around 110% more fossil fuels in 2030 than would be consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C, and 69% more than would be consistent with 2°C.
Beetaloo fracking and Middle Arm emissions wildly underestimated: analysis
An independent analysis of the projected emissions from the Northern Territory's proposed Beetaloo Basin gas fracking project — and the associated Middle Arm LNG precinct in Darwin Harbour — has found they've been gravely underestimated, as have the availability of offsets to deal with them.
Remembering Saleemul Huq
We pay tribute to the highly revered climate expert and advocate Saleemul Huq, who passed away suddenly this Saturday.
Comic artists respond to the climate crisis
Three leading comic creators have collaborated with the Horizon Europe project, CONSTRAIN, to develop comics exploring the climate change challenge.
Changes to the jet stream could trigger simultaneous crop failures impacting global food security
This new study finds that the jet stream – air currents in the upper atmosphere – can synchronise extreme weather caused by climate change, resulting in crop failures in multiple countries at the same time.
At least 1.5 TW of new wind and solar capacity needed each year by 2030 to meet 1.5°C limit sustainably
Our new analysis, which applies sustainability limits and minimises the need for carbon dioxide removal, finds new wind and solar needs to be installed five times faster by 2030 at a rate of 1.5 TW a year to limit global warming to 1.5°C.
Limiting warming using solar geoengineering is a 100 year plus commitment, new study
New peer reviewed research shows that if solar radiation management – where higher amounts of sunlight are reflected back to space through artificially altering either the Earth’s surface or the atmosphere – is deployed to limit warming to 1.5°C without emissions cuts beyond those currently envisioned by governments, it would have to be maintained for at least a hundred years.