Supporting science-based policy to prevent dangerous climate change, enabling sustainable development.
Synthesise and advance scientific knowledge in the area of climate change and on this basis provide support and capacity building to stakeholders. By linking scientific and policy analysis, we provide state-of-the-art solutions to global and national climate change policy challenges.
Climate Analytics is a non-profit climate science and policy institute based in Berlin, Germany with offices in New York, USA, Lomé, Togo and Perth, Australia, which brings together interdisciplinary expertise in the scientific and policy aspects of climate change. Our mission is to synthesise and advance scientific knowledge in the area of climate change and on this basis provide support and capacity building to stakeholders. By linking scientific and policy analysis, we provide state-of-the-art solutions to global and national climate change policy challenges.
Climate Analytics was founded in 2008 in Potsdam, Germany by Dr (h.c) Bill Hare, Dr. Malte Meinshausen and Dr. Michiel Schaeffer to bring vanguard climate science and policy analysis to bear on one of the most pressing global problems of our time: human induced climate change. We are motivated by the desire to empower those most vulnerable – small island states and least developed countries – to use the best science and analysis available in their efforts to secure a global agreement to limit global warming to levels that don’t threaten their very survival.
Climate Analytics – who we are, what we do
Climate Analytics in a nutshell – this brochure contains information about our areas of work and expertise, key projects and publications, staff and history.
Initially with offices at the Potsdam Institute of Climate Impact Research and Kigali, Rwanda, we are now based in Berlin, Germany with offices in Lomé/Togo and New York/USA and staff and collaborators in Australia, Brazil, Chile, Ethiopia, Grenada, Nepal and the Netherlands.
Our headquarters are located in the heart of Berlin. Our CEO as well as the majority of our science and policy teams are based here, supported by our project management, finance and administrative staff. Climate Analytics builds on long established partnerships with German and European partners and organisations.
Our office in Lomé, Togo focuses on issues relating to Least Developed Countries (LDCs) with an emphasis on climate negotiations, implementation and adaptation. Our staff in Lomé have developed a wide network of regional partner organisations in African LDCs and are also able to meet requests from francophone LDCs to deliver workshops and material in French.
Our New York office, located near the UN headquarters, provides consistent support across climate change and development related processes, with a focus on empowering Small Island Developing States (SIDS) and LDC diplomats, including New York based ambassadors to the UN, to enhance their impact in negotiation processes. It partners up with US-based organisations and academia to further advance our climate science, policy research and analysis.
Our office in Perth, Australia was established in 2017 to expand our work on international climate policy, focusing on the development of climate policy and energy transformation strategies in the Asia-Pacific Region. Building on strong networks, our Australian branch develops projects aiming to inform policymakers of climate policy options around fossil fuel phase-out and renewables phase-in, as well as issues relating to just transition.
Sea level rise
Climate sensitivity and feedbacks
Probabilistic climate projections
Emission pathways and climate goals
Role of Non-CO2 gases and air pollutants
Contact: Dr. Michiel Schaeffer
We synthesise and advance scientific knowledge in the area of climate change science, policy and impacts to make it easily accessible for stakeholders in the international climate change arena. This includes conducting our own research (for example, to evaluate the uncertainties in climate science associated with potential mitigation pathways, project sea-level rise or evaluate impacts and risks at different levels of warming) as well as bringing together and communicating the findings of the available scientific literature and providing the context needed to understand their implications. Projections of future climate change are subject to uncertainty, as they depend on a range of developments that cannot be foreseen (e.g. emission pathways). Also, there remain important limitations in the understanding and the modelling of some key processes of the climate system. Much of our work therefore focused on understanding these key process and the probabilities associated with climate impact projections.
Risks to Sustainable Development
Climate Risk Indicators
Impacts and Vulnerability
Our work focuses on understanding the effects of climate change on livelihood realities and development perspectives of especially vulnerable population groups. Impact and vulnerability assessments provide an important basis for the identification of adaptation requirements as well as analyses of loss and damage. Through assessing the implications of impacts at different levels of warming, we gain a better understanding of the implications of different emission pathways. SIDS and LDCs face particularly great challenges. Their physical exposure and the limited number of available adaptation options as well as adaptive capacity are key determinants of their vulnerability.
Emission reduction targets
Carbon and Emission budgets
Role of Air Pollutants
Contact: Dr. Michiel Schaeffer
We explore the greenhouse-gas emission reductions necessary to achieve long-term global climate goals, such as holding warming below 1.5 and 2°C warming relative to pre-industrial levels. Analysing emissions scenarios from energy-economic models and other sources with coupled carbon-cycle/climate models leads to globally “allowed” ranges of emissions for different greenhouse gases, air pollutants and sectors, as well as associated time- and pathway-dependent mitigation costs and technology portfolios.
Based on the latest science, we provide on-demand technical, political, strategic and legal briefings and advice to negotiators, with the aim of supporting the establishment of an effective and legally binding multilateral climate regime. We also support other stakeholders, including international organisations, governments and NGOs.
Capacity building and knowledge sharing
High Level Support
We provide scientific, policy and analytical support to assist Small Island Developing States (SIDS) and Least Developed Countries (LDCs) in the UNFCCC, Green Climate Fund and related climate negotiations and fora.
An independent science-based assessment tracking all countries‘ emission reduction pledges and their implementation. CAT assessments are regarded as the thermometer of international climate action ambition.
Mitigation options and adequacy of action
Emissions Gap Assessment
Co-benefits of mitigation
Equity options and analyses
We assess the effectiveness of international strategies and national climate policies, including low carbon development plans, in meeting global climate goals and reducing greenhouse gas emissions whilst meeting sustainable development goals. We analyse the effectiveness of mitigation pledges made in the UNFCCC process, as well as national policies aimed at mitigation. Our findings are made publicly available, which is intended to increase transparency and to encourage countries to make pledges, if they have not yet done so, or to increase their level of national action.
Assessment of climate finance needs
National and Regional Readiness
Green Climate Fund
Tracking Climate Finance
Contact: Laetitia de Marez
As part of our negotiation support delivered to Small Island Developing States (SIDS) and Least Developed Countries (LDCs), we support negotiators in the UNFCCC and GCF negotiations with on-demand analysis and technical support on all areas of international climate finance. This enables them to formulate an integrated strategy in the implementation of the international climate finance architecture as part of the negotiations for a new agreement that takes into account the needs of vulnerable countries.
National and Regional Adaptation
Regional Capacity Building
Assessment of INDCs
In order to assist developing countries particularly vulnerable to the effects of climate change, Climate Analytics assist in streamlining climate plans into national development strategies, hence improving effectiveness of implementation and fundability of such projects at regional and national level. Our team involved in the implementation strategies has wide range of experience on facilitation of national and regional climate change processes, including capacity building activities targeted for government and other stakeholders.
Adaptation gap assessments
Costs and benefits of adaptation
Costs of residual damages
Loss and Damage
Our programs and studies mainly focus on scientific and economic analysis of adaptation options, including cost of residual damages and policy inputs. Our policy experts play an important role in providing real-time support and advice to delegates at UN Climate change negotiations on issues related to adaptation and loss and damage. Our experts have contributed to Africa’s Adaptation Gap reports, published in 2013 and 2015, and for the global level and study on Loss and Damage in Africa.