Implications of the Paris Agreement for coal use

The project looks into the consequences of the Paris Agreement for planned and existing coal capacity, comparing existing and planned coal capacity for a set of key countries/regions.

Project period
April 2016 – September 2016

The European Climate Foundation


©Kym Farnik, Flickr

This project analyses what the latest science tells us about phase-out of fossil fuels and decarbonisation of the power sector in both a 2°C and a 1.5°C worlds and what this means for the planned and existing coal capacity for 2030 and 2050.

With the need for rapid transformation and decarbonisation in mind, the resulting report compares existing and planned coal capacity for the European Union, OECD, China and the rest of the world based on data from the Global Coal Plant Tracker with the coal-fired capacity in Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) scenarios consistent with limiting global temperature increase to 2°C and 1.5°C.

In addition, the results are compared with the most recent projections of the International Energy Agency (IEA) and underlying differences in assumptions and outcomes are discussed. Lastly, this report compares the decarbonisation pathways obtained from energy-system models (IAMs and IEA models) with the emissions reductions resulting from a range of equity considerations.