Current emissions trends – together with implemented and planned policies – are likely to lead to higher 21st century emission levels than previously projected, suggesting increased warming by 2100. “If Governments don’t take any further action, we are already facing a 40% chance of warming exceeding 4°C by 2100 and a 10% chance of it exceeding 5°C in the same period,” said Dr Bill Hare of Climate Analytics. “With these emission trends a warming of 3-4degC warming at 2100 won’t stop there. Warming is likely to continue upwards well into the 22nd Century.” Recent developments from around the world show just a few rays of hope that things will change. The only good news on mitigation was from the smallest and most vulnerable countries, such as the Marshall Islands and a group of Caribbean nations, all of which are moving toward renewable energy faster than other nations.
The full briefing paper and press release are available under Attachments below. More information about the Climate Action Tracker is available on www.climateactiontracker.org