“Climate shuffle” likely to lead to increased warming: Climate Action Tracker

Against a background of stalled climate talks, current analyses of climate policies show that governments are less likely than ever to deliver on the Copenhagen pledges, let alone keep global warming below 2degC, the Climate Action Tracker said today in its latest update, released at the Bonn climate talks.

Date2013, June 13

Current emissions trends – together with implemented and planned policies – are likely to lead to higher 21st century emission levels than previously projected, suggesting increased warming by 2100. “If Governments don’t take any further action, we are already facing a 40% chance of warming exceeding 4°C by 2100 and a 10% chance of it exceeding 5°C in the same period,” said Dr Bill Hare of Climate Analytics. “With these emission trends a warming of 3-4degC warming at 2100 won’t stop there. Warming is likely to continue upwards well into the 22nd Century.” Recent developments from around the world show just a few rays of hope that things will change. The only good news on mitigation was from the smallest and most vulnerable countries, such as the Marshall Islands and a group of Caribbean nations, all of which are moving toward renewable energy faster than other nations.

The full briefing paper and press release are available under Attachments below. More information about the Climate Action Tracker is available on www.climateactiontracker.org