In the Paris Agreement on climate change, 195 countries agreed to limit the global average temperature rise to well below 2 degrees Celsius compared to the preindustrial level - and if possible, to 1.5 degrees.
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By the end of the century, the global temperature is likely to rise more than 2 degrees Celsius. This rise in temperature is the ominous conclusion reached by two different studies using entirely different methods published in the journal Nature Climate Change.
Researchers now know the difference half a degree can make. They can tell you why 1.5°C warming would be better than a 2°C climb in average global temperatures, because even half a degree Celsius could mean greater extremes of heat, more overwhelming rainfall and longer spells of warm weather.